WTPZ24 KNHC 222037 RRA

TCMEP4



HURRICANE WILLA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP242018

2100 UTC MON OCT 22 2018



CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...



NONE.



SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...



A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

. SAN BLAS TO MAZATLAN... INCLUDING LAS ISLAS MARIAS



A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

... PLAYA PERULA TO SAN BLAS

... NORTH OF MAZATLAN TO BAHIA TEMPEHUAYA



A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED

SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 36 HOURS.

PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO

COMPLETION.



A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.



INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COASTS OF WEST-CENTRAL AND

SOUTHWESTERN MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF WILLA.



HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 107.2W AT 22/2100Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM



PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   7 KT



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  929 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 135 KT WITH GUSTS TO 165 KT.

64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  15SW  25NW.

50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.

34 KT.......110NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.

12 FT SEAS..150NE 240SE 180SW 180NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.



REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.7N 107.2W AT 22/2100Z

AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.4N 107.2W



FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 20.7N 107.1W

MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.

64 KT... 35NE  30SE  20SW  25NW.