WTXS51 PGTW 062100 WARNING ATCG MIL 21S SIO 150406201653 2015040618 21S IKOLA 003 02 135 15 SATL 015 T000 159S 0912E 095 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 090 SE QD 090 SW QD 070 NW QD T012 181S 0934E 105 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 045 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 100 SE QD 100 SW QD 095 NW QD T024 201S 0958E 090 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 090 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 222S 0985E 070 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 090 SE QD 080 SW QD 080 NW QD T048 245S 1016E 055 R050 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 065 NW QD T072 290S 1079E 035 T096 346S 1148E 020 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (IKOLA) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (IKOLA) WARNING NR 003 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 061800Z --- NEAR 15.9S 91.2E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 15 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 15.9S 91.2E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 070600Z --- 18.1S 93.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 15 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 20.1S 95.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 16 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 22.2S 98.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 24.5S 101.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 055 KT, GUSTS 070 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 29.0S 107.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 20 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 101800Z --- 34.6S 114.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 062100Z POSITION NEAR 16.5S 91.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (IKOLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1352 NM WEST- NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 15 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 061800Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 070900Z AND 072100Z. FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// 2115040218 88S 877E 20 2115040300 91S 881E 20 2115040306 95S 883E 20 2115040312 102S 882E 20 2115040318 104S 877E 20 2115040400 105S 871E 20 2115040406 106S 869E 20 2115040412 108S 867E 20 2115040418 109S 865E 20 2115040500 114S 864E 25 2115040506 117S 870E 25 2115040512 121S 873E 25 2115040518 127S 878E 45 2115040600 135S 887E 55 2115040600 135S 887E 55 2115040606 142S 893E 65 2115040606 142S 893E 65 2115040612 149S 901E 80 2115040612 149S 901E 80 2115040612 149S 901E 80 2115040618 159S 912E 95 2115040618 159S 912E 95 2115040618 159S 912E 95