WTXS51 PGTW 070900 WARNING ATCG MIL 21S SIO 150407074046 2015040706 21S IKOLA 004 02 135 14 SATL 010 T000 180S 0934E 095 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 040 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 040 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 115 SE QD 115 SW QD 100 NW QD T012 202S 0958E 080 R064 020 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 095 NW QD T024 224S 0985E 065 R050 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 035 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 105 SE QD 105 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 248S 1015E 050 R050 030 NE QD 030 SE QD 030 SW QD 030 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 274S 1042E 040 R034 055 NE QD 070 SE QD 070 SW QD 055 NW QD T072 328S 1101E 030 AMP 048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (IKOLA) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (IKOLA) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 070600Z --- NEAR 18.0S 93.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 14 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 18.0S 93.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 071800Z --- 20.2S 95.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 17 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 22.4S 98.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 130 DEG/ 18 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 24.8S 101.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 18 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 27.4S 104.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 19 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 32.8S 110.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 070900Z POSITION NEAR 18.6S 94.0E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (IKOLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1193 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 14 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 070600Z IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 072100Z AND 080900Z. FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES. // 2115040218 88S 877E 20 2115040300 91S 881E 20 2115040306 95S 883E 20 2115040312 102S 882E 20 2115040318 104S 877E 20 2115040400 105S 871E 20 2115040406 106S 869E 20 2115040412 108S 867E 20 2115040418 109S 865E 20 2115040500 114S 864E 25 2115040506 117S 870E 25 2115040512 121S 873E 25 2115040518 127S 878E 45 2115040600 135S 887E 55 2115040600 135S 887E 55 2115040606 142S 893E 65 2115040606 142S 893E 65 2115040612 149S 901E 80 2115040612 149S 901E 80 2115040612 149S 901E 80 2115040618 159S 912E 95 2115040618 159S 912E 95 2115040618 159S 912E 95 2115040700 170S 923E 100 2115040700 170S 923E 100 2115040700 170S 923E 100 2115040706 180S 934E 95 2115040706 180S 934E 95 2115040706 180S 934E 95