WTXS51 PGTW 072100 WARNING ATCG MIL 21S SIO 150407193854 2015040718 21S IKOLA 005 02 135 17 SATL 040 T000 204S 0960E 080 R064 020 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 020 NW QD R050 035 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 115 SE QD 110 SW QD 095 NW QD T012 231S 0992E 065 R050 035 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 095 NE QD 110 SE QD 110 SW QD 095 NW QD T024 258S 1023E 050 R034 090 NE QD 105 SE QD 105 SW QD 090 NW QD T036 286S 1058E 040 R034 070 NE QD 080 SE QD 080 SW QD 070 NW QD T048 323S 1093E 030 AMP 036HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 048HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (IKOLA) WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (IKOLA) WARNING NR 005 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 071800Z --- NEAR 20.4S 96.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 135 DEGREES AT 17 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 040 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 20.4S 96.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 080600Z --- 23.1S 99.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 110 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 20 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 25.8S 102.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 135 DEG/ 21 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 28.6S 105.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 070 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 140 DEG/ 24 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 32.3S 109.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 072100Z POSITION NEAR 21.1S 96.8E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 21S (IKOLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1017 NM WEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHEASTWARD AT 17 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 071800Z IS 32 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 080900Z AND 082100Z. FOR TWELVE-HOURLY UPDATES.// 2115040218 88S 877E 20 2115040300 91S 881E 20 2115040306 95S 883E 20 2115040312 102S 882E 20 2115040318 104S 877E 20 2115040400 105S 871E 20 2115040406 106S 869E 20 2115040412 108S 867E 20 2115040418 109S 865E 20 2115040500 114S 864E 25 2115040506 117S 870E 25 2115040512 121S 873E 25 2115040518 127S 878E 45 2115040600 135S 887E 55 2115040600 135S 887E 55 2115040606 142S 893E 65 2115040606 142S 893E 65 2115040612 149S 901E 80 2115040612 149S 901E 80 2115040612 149S 901E 80 2115040618 159S 912E 95 2115040618 159S 912E 95 2115040618 159S 912E 95 2115040700 170S 923E 105 2115040700 170S 923E 105 2115040700 170S 923E 105 2115040706 180S 934E 95 2115040706 180S 934E 95 2115040706 180S 934E 95 2115040712 192S 947E 85 2115040712 192S 947E 85 2115040712 192S 947E 85 2115040718 204S 960E 80 2115040718 204S 960E 80 2115040718 204S 960E 80