WTPA21 PHFO 220833

TCMCP1



TROPICAL DEPRESSION KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7

NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015

0900 UTC SAT AUG 22 2015



THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF

KILO.



TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 156.5W AT 22/0900Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM



PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT  14 KT



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.



REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 156.5W AT 22/0900Z

AT 22/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 156.0W



FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 14.0N 159.1W

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.



FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 14.9N 161.9W

MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.



FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.8N 163.8W

MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

34 KT... 50NE  40SE  10SW  40NW.



FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 16.6N 164.7W

MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  50NW.



FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 18.0N 165.0W

MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

50 KT... 40NE  40SE  10SW  30NW.

34 KT... 80NE  80SE  40SW  70NW.



EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY



OUTLOOK VALID 26/0600Z 19.5N 164.0W

MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.



OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 20.5N 163.0W

MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.



REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 156.5W



NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/1500Z



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FORECASTER BIRCHARD=