WTPA21 PHFO 221433

TCMCP1



TROPICAL DEPRESSION KILO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8

NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP032015

1500 UTC SAT AUG 22 2015



THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF

KILO.



TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 158.2W AT 22/1500Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM



PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  15 KT



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.



REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.8N 158.2W AT 22/1500Z

AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 157.5W



FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 14.5N 160.5W

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.



FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 15.6N 163.0W

MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.



FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 16.4N 164.5W

MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

34 KT... 50NE  40SE  10SW  40NW.



FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 17.4N 165.1W

MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

34 KT... 50NE  40SE  10SW  40NW.



FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 18.6N 164.9W

MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

50 KT... 30NE  30SE  10SW  20NW.

34 KT... 70NE  70SE  20SW  50NW.



EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY



OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 20.0N 164.0W

MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.



OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.6N 163.0W

MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.



REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.8N 158.2W



NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z



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FORECASTER BIRCHARD=