WTPA45 PHFO 211155

TCDCP5



TROPICAL STORM MALIA SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER  11

NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP052015

200 AM HST MON SEP 21 2015



A SCATTEROMETER PASS FROM 0827Z SHOWED GALE FORCE WINDS IN A CLEAR

SLOT TO THE EAST-SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OF THE TROPICAL CYCLONE.

ALSO...THE LOW LEVEL CENTER APPEARS TO HAVE MOVED UNDER DEEP

CONVECTION THAT HAS FLARED UP IN THE NORTHEAST QUADRANT DURING

THE PAST COUPLE OF HOURS. AS A RESULT...THIS SPECIAL ADVISORY

PACKAGE IS BEING ISSUED TO UPGRADE TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-C TO A

TROPICAL STORM AS OF 200 AM HST THIS MORNING. THE TROPICAL STORM

HAS THE NEXT NAME ON THE CENTRAL PACIFIC LIST...WHICH IS MALIA...

PRONOUNCED MAH-LEE-AH.



THE FORECAST PHILOSOPHY REMAINS THE SAME AS IN THE PREVIOUS FORECAST

PACKAGE. THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY PACKAGE WILL BE ISSUED AT 500

AM HST THIS MORNING.



A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS POSTED FOR PORTIONS OF THE

PAPAHANAUMOKUAKEA MARINE NATIONAL MONUMENT FROM FRENCH FRIGATE

SHOALS TO MARO REEF TO LISIANSKI ISLAND. CONDITIONS WILL CONTINUE

TO DETERIORATE THIS MORNING AS THE SYSTEM CONTINUES TO MOVE OVER

THESE VULNERABLE LOW LYING ISLANDS AND ATOLLS.



FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS



INIT  21/1200Z 24.7N 171.2W   35 KT  40 MPH

 12H  21/1800Z 26.0N 171.7W   35 KT  40 MPH

 24H  22/0600Z 28.3N 172.1W   35 KT  40 MPH

 36H  22/1800Z 31.0N 173.0W   35 KT  40 MPH

 48H  23/0600Z 35.0N 175.0W   40 KT  45 MPH

 72H  24/0600Z 43.4N 175.0E   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

 96H  25/0600Z 50.0N 172.5E   35 KT  40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP

120H  26/0600Z...DISSIPATED



$$

FORECASTER HOUSTON