WTPA22 PHFO 040251

TCMCP2



TROPICAL STORM OHO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4

NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP072015

0300 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015



THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF

OHO.



TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 154.2W AT 04/0300Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM



PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE EAST OR  85 DEGREES AT   6 KT



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.

34 KT....... 30NE 300SE 250SW  30NW.

12 FT SEAS.. 40NE 330SE 280SW  40NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.



REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 154.2W AT 04/0300Z

AT 04/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 154.6W



FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 13.6N 154.3W

MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

34 KT... 40NE 300SE 250SW  30NW.



FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.8N 154.9W

MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.

34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.



FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.2N 155.0W

MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

34 KT... 80NE  80SE  80SW  80NW.



FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 14.5N 154.6W

MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

34 KT... 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.



FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 15.0N 153.0W

MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

50 KT... 30NE  50SE  50SW  30NW.

34 KT... 90NE 130SE 130SW  90NW.



EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY



OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 16.5N 151.5W

MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.



OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 20.0N 149.5W

MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.



REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.9N 154.2W



NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/0900Z



$$

FORECASTER KODAMA