WTPA22 PHFO 041437

TCMCP2



TROPICAL STORM OHO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6

NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP072015

1500 UTC SUN OCT 04 2015



THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF

OHO.



TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 155.2W AT 04/1500Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM



PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   6 KT



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.

34 KT....... 30NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.

12 FT SEAS.. 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.



REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 155.2W AT 04/1500Z

AT 04/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 154.9W



FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 13.8N 155.3W

MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

34 KT... 30NE  40SE  40SW  30NW.



FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 14.3N 155.2W

MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.



FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.0N 154.5W

MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

50 KT... 10NE  20SE  20SW  10NW.

34 KT... 50NE  70SE  70SW  50NW.



FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 16.0N 153.4W

MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

50 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.

34 KT... 60NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.



FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 17.6N 151.4W

MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

50 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.

34 KT... 70NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.



EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM

ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY



OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 20.5N 148.5W

MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.



OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 25.0N 146.0W

MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.



REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.5N 155.2W



NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/2100Z



$$



FORECASTER BIRCHARD