WTPN31 PHNC 222130

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 009A AMENDED//

RMKS/

1. HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA) WARNING NR 009A AMENDED

   02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN EASTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   221800Z --- NEAR 15.1N 104.1W

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 015 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 15.1N 104.1W

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   230600Z --- 16.5N 105.6W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 135 KT, GUSTS 165 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 145 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 350 DEG/ 08 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   231800Z --- 18.1N 105.9W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 150 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 020 DEG/ 13 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   240600Z --- 20.6N 104.9W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 035 DEG/ 17 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   241800Z --- 23.3N 102.8W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 020 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

    ---

REMARKS:

222130Z POSITION NEAR 15.6N 104.6W.

HURRICANE 20E (PATRICIA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 234 NM SOUTH OF

MANZANILLO, MEXICO, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS

OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z

IS 35 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 230400Z, 231000Z, 231600Z AND 232200Z.

REFER TO TROPICAL CYCLONE 19E (OLAF) WARNINGS (WTPN32 PGTW)

FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES.//