WTPQ31 PGUM 170326

TCPPQ1



BULLETIN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W ADVISORY NUMBER 1

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TIYAN GU WP272015

200 PM CHST TUE NOV 17 2015



...TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W HAS FORMED NEAR KOSRAE...



CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY

--------------------------

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR POHNPEI...SAPWUAFIK AND

PAKIN IN POHNPWI STATE.



WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS NOW IN EFFECT FOR POHNPEI...SAPWUAFIK AND

PAKIN. A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS

OF 39 TO 73 MPH ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN 48 HOURS.



SUMMARY OF 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...4.7N 162.3E



ABOUT   65 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KOSRAE

ABOUT  320 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF POHNPEI

ABOUT  340 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF PAKIN

ABOUT  345 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAPWUAFIK

ABOUT 1335 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF SAIPAN AND

ABOUT 1340 MILES EAST-SOUTHEAST OF GUAM



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WEST...260 DEGREES AT 16 MPH



DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK

----------------------

AT 100 PM CHST...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W

WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 4.7 DEGREES NORTH AND LONGITUDE 162.3

DEGREES EAST...MOVING WESTWARD AT 16 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W IS

EXPECTED TO GRADUALLY TURN TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST WITH LITTLE

CHANGE IN FORWARD SPEED.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE 30 MPH. TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W WILL

INTENSIFY DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS AND COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM

BY WEDNESDAY EVENING.



NEXT ADVISORY

-------------

AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER

SERVICE FOR TROPICAL DEPRESSION 27W AT 500 PM FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT

SCHEDULED ADVISORY ISSUED AT 800 PM.



$$



SIMPSON