WTNT82 EGRR 100418



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 10.01.2016



        TROPICAL STORM PALI       ANALYSED POSITION :  7.7N 174.1W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012016



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 10.01.2016    0   7.7N 174.1W      999            35

    1200UTC 10.01.2016   12   8.3N 174.3W     1000            30

    0000UTC 11.01.2016   24   8.4N 174.4W      999            31

    1200UTC 11.01.2016   36   8.4N 174.0W      999            37

    0000UTC 12.01.2016   48   7.7N 173.5W      995            47

    1200UTC 12.01.2016   60   6.2N 172.9W      997            45

    0000UTC 13.01.2016   72   4.2N 172.7W      998            41

    1200UTC 13.01.2016   84   2.5N 172.9W      999            38

    0000UTC 14.01.2016   96   0.8N 173.2W     1001            33

    1200UTC 14.01.2016  108   0.5S 172.9W     1003            33

    0000UTC 15.01.2016  120              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 18.3N 100.6W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 16.01.2016  144  18.3N 100.6W     1007            17





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 100417