WTNT82 EGRR 101618



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 10.01.2016



        TROPICAL STORM PALI       ANALYSED POSITION :  7.8N 174.6W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : CP012016



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 10.01.2016    0   7.8N 174.6W      998            33

    0000UTC 11.01.2016   12   8.5N 174.4W      992            46

    1200UTC 11.01.2016   24   8.6N 174.2W      989            47

    0000UTC 12.01.2016   36   8.1N 173.5W      991            50

    1200UTC 12.01.2016   48   6.8N 172.5W      992            53

    0000UTC 13.01.2016   60   5.0N 172.5W      995            43

    1200UTC 13.01.2016   72   3.0N 172.8W      999            39

    0000UTC 14.01.2016   84   1.6N 173.3W      999            37

    1200UTC 14.01.2016   96   0.5N 173.5W     1002            34

    0000UTC 15.01.2016  108   1.0S 173.3W     1004            30

    1200UTC 15.01.2016  120              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 25.9N  90.4W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 15.01.2016  108  26.8N  87.6W     1002            46

    1200UTC 15.01.2016  120  28.9N  83.7W     1000            35

    0000UTC 16.01.2016  132  33.2N  74.1W      993            40

    1200UTC 16.01.2016  144  37.1N  66.4W      969            68





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 101617