WTPS31 PGTW 222100 MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI// SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (VICTOR) WARNING NR 017// RMKS/ 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (VICTOR) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 22.9S 176.1W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.9S 176.1W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 24.6S 176.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 23.3S 176.2W. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (VICTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 112 NM SOUTHWEST OF TONGA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.0. TC VICTOR HAS TURNED MORE SOUTHWESTERLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, BEING STEERED ALONG THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC VICTOR HAS MOVED INTO AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND DECREASING SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES, WHICH HAVE CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DISSIPATE. THE TRACK FORECAST IS POSITIONED CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS AND IS SUPPORTED BY A TIGHT PACKING OF MODEL FORECAST TRACKS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 12 FEET. //