WTPS51 PGTW 222100 WARNING ATCG MIL 07P SWP 160122191656 2016012218 07P VICTOR 017 01 225 10 SATL 030 T000 229S 1761W 030 T012 246S 1767W 030 AMP 000HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (VICTOR) WARNING NR 017 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (VICTOR) WARNING NR 017 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 221800Z --- NEAR 22.9S 176.1W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 225 DEGREES AT 10 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 22.9S 176.1W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 230600Z --- 24.6S 176.7W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 222100Z POSITION NEAR 23.3S 176.2W. TROPICAL CYCLONE 07P (VICTOR), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 112 NM SOUTHWEST OF TONGA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED ENHANCED INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY DEPICTS A FULLY EXPOSED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER (LLCC) WITH NO ASSOCIATED DEEP CONVECTION. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED ON DVORAK INTENSITY ESTIMATES OF T2.0. TC VICTOR HAS TURNED MORE SOUTHWESTERLY OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS, BEING STEERED ALONG THE NORTHWEST PERIPHERY OF A SUBTROPICAL RIDGE. TC VICTOR HAS MOVED INTO AN UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT OF HIGH VERTICAL WIND SHEAR (VWS) AND DECREASING SEA-SURFACE TEMPERATURES, WHICH HAVE CAUSED THE SYSTEM TO DISSIPATE. THE TRACK FORECAST IS POSITIONED CLOSE TO THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS AND IS SUPPORTED BY A TIGHT PACKING OF MODEL FORECAST TRACKS WITH HIGH CONFIDENCE. THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 221800Z IS 12 FEET.// 0716011318 121S1651W 25 0716011400 126S1649W 25 0716011406 131S1648W 25 0716011412 136S1649W 30 0716011418 140S1652W 35 0716011500 143S1655W 40 0716011506 145S1658W 45 0716011512 144S1660W 55 0716011512 144S1660W 55 0716011518 143S1661W 65 0716011518 143S1661W 65 0716011600 145S1661W 70 0716011600 145S1661W 70 0716011606 147S1662W 75 0716011606 147S1662W 75 0716011606 147S1662W 75 0716011612 149S1663W 75 0716011612 149S1663W 75 0716011612 149S1663W 75 0716011618 151S1664W 75 0716011618 151S1664W 75 0716011618 151S1664W 75 0716011700 155S1664W 70 0716011700 155S1664W 70 0716011700 155S1664W 70 0716011706 161S1664W 70 0716011706 161S1664W 70 0716011706 161S1664W 70 0716011712 168S1664W 70 0716011712 168S1664W 70 0716011712 168S1664W 70 0716011718 174S1664W 65 0716011718 174S1664W 65 0716011800 182S1663W 65 0716011800 182S1663W 65 0716011806 191S1661W 75 0716011806 191S1661W 75 0716011806 191S1661W 75 0716011812 197S1661W 80 0716011812 197S1661W 80 0716011812 197S1661W 80 0716011818 201S1662W 90 0716011818 201S1662W 90 0716011818 201S1662W 90 0716011900 205S1666W 85 0716011900 205S1666W 85 0716011900 205S1666W 85 0716011906 208S1671W 80 0716011906 208S1671W 80 0716011906 208S1671W 80 0716011912 211S1676W 75 0716011912 211S1676W 75 0716011912 211S1676W 75 0716011918 213S1680W 65 0716011918 213S1680W 65 0716011918 213S1680W 65 0716012000 215S1685W 65 0716012000 215S1685W 65 0716012000 215S1685W 65 0716012006 215S1689W 65 0716012006 215S1689W 65 0716012012 215S1692W 65 0716012012 215S1692W 65 0716012018 215S1695W 65 0716012018 215S1695W 65 0716012100 215S1702W 65 0716012100 215S1702W 65 0716012106 215S1710W 65 0716012106 215S1710W 65 0716012112 215S1718W 60 0716012112 215S1718W 60 0716012118 216S1725W 50 0716012200 218S1733W 45 0716012206 220S1743W 40 0716012212 222S1754W 35 0716012218 229S1761W 30