WTXS51 PGTW 122100 WARNING ATCG MIL 19S SIO 160412200310 2016041218 19S FANTALA 003 01 285 04 SATL 060 T000 128S 0688E 065 R050 010 NE QD 020 SE QD 020 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 050 NE QD 060 SE QD 060 SW QD 055 NW QD T012 127S 0677E 075 R064 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 015 SW QD 015 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 035 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 080 SE QD 085 SW QD 080 NW QD T024 126S 0664E 085 R064 025 NE QD 025 SE QD 035 SW QD 035 NW QD R050 050 NE QD 050 SE QD 055 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 095 SW QD 095 NW QD T036 126S 0646E 110 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 060 SE QD 075 SW QD 075 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 115 SW QD 115 NW QD T048 125S 0626E 125 R064 035 NE QD 035 SE QD 040 SW QD 040 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 055 SE QD 065 SW QD 065 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 100 SE QD 120 SW QD 120 NW QD T072 123S 0592E 120 R064 040 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 045 NW QD R050 065 NE QD 065 SE QD 070 SW QD 080 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 120 SE QD 125 SW QD 140 NW QD T096 117S 0562E 110 T120 111S 0545E 100 AMP SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA) WARNING NR 003 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA) WARNING NR 003 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 121800Z --- NEAR 12.8S 68.8E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 04 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 065 KT, GUSTS 080 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 12.8S 68.8E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 130600Z --- 12.7S 67.7E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 131800Z --- 12.6S 66.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 085 KT, GUSTS 105 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 035 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 270 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 140600Z --- 12.6S 64.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 115 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 141800Z --- 12.5S 62.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 035 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 065 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 100 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 151800Z --- 12.3S 59.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 045 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 161800Z --- 11.7S 56.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 120 HRS, VALID AT: 171800Z --- 11.1S 54.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- REMARKS: 122100Z POSITION NEAR 12.8S 68.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19S (FANTALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 406 NM SOUTH-SOUTHWEST OF DIEGO GARCIA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 04 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 121800Z IS 20 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 130900Z AND 132100Z. // 1916041012 118S 750E 20 1916041018 122S 742E 20 1916041100 125S 734E 20 1916041106 127S 728E 25 1916041112 128S 722E 30 1916041118 129S 714E 35 1916041200 129S 705E 45 1916041206 129S 697E 60 1916041206 129S 697E 60 1916041212 129S 692E 60 1916041212 129S 692E 60 1916041218 128S 688E 65 1916041218 128S 688E 65