WTPZ31 KNHC 160833

TCPEP1



BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE ADVISORY NUMBER   4

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP062016

300 AM MDT SAT JUL 16 2016



...ESTELLE STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY...





SUMMARY OF 300 AM MDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION

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LOCATION...15.6N 109.0W

ABOUT 390 MI...625 KM SW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.





DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

AT 300 AM MDT (0900 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ESTELLE WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH, LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST. ESTELLE IS

MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH (17 KM/H) AND THIS

GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 45 MPH (75 KM/H) WITH

HIGHER GUSTS.  STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48

HOURS, AND ESTELLE COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON SUNDAY.



TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES (130 KM)

FROM THE CENTER.



THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB (29.59 INCHES).





HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

NONE





NEXT ADVISORY

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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 900 AM MDT.



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FORECASTER BEVEN=