WTNT82 EGRR 311732 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 31.08.2016 HURRICANE MADELINE ANALYSED POSITION : 18.8N 152.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP142016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 31.08.2016 0 18.8N 152.9W 1002 41 0000UTC 01.09.2016 12 17.3N 155.4W 1005 37 1200UTC 01.09.2016 24 16.5N 157.8W 1005 35 0000UTC 02.09.2016 36 16.2N 160.5W 1006 33 1200UTC 02.09.2016 48 15.9N 163.1W 1007 30 0000UTC 03.09.2016 60 15.5N 166.1W 1008 29 1200UTC 03.09.2016 72 15.0N 169.2W 1009 28 0000UTC 04.09.2016 84 15.5N 171.4W 1008 24 1200UTC 04.09.2016 96 15.2N 173.2W 1009 22 0000UTC 05.09.2016 108 15.6N 174.6W 1009 18 1200UTC 05.09.2016 120 15.9N 176.1W 1009 16 0000UTC 06.09.2016 132 16.2N 177.2W 1009 16 1200UTC 06.09.2016 144 16.7N 178.7W 1009 16 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 08L ANALYSED POSITION : 35.6N 73.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL082016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 31.08.2016 0 35.6N 73.6W 1011 23 0000UTC 01.09.2016 12 36.4N 71.1W 1010 27 1200UTC 01.09.2016 24 37.7N 67.2W 1008 30 0000UTC 02.09.2016 36 40.0N 61.2W 1007 35 1200UTC 02.09.2016 48 41.8N 54.4W 1006 33 0000UTC 03.09.2016 60 44.2N 44.9W 1002 34 1200UTC 03.09.2016 72 45.5N 40.3W 996 32 0000UTC 04.09.2016 84 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE GASTON ANALYSED POSITION : 33.8N 49.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL072016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 31.08.2016 0 33.8N 49.6W 981 61 0000UTC 01.09.2016 12 35.6N 46.4W 971 68 1200UTC 01.09.2016 24 37.5N 41.9W 969 68 0000UTC 02.09.2016 36 38.7N 36.7W 981 60 1200UTC 02.09.2016 48 39.1N 32.2W 990 52 0000UTC 03.09.2016 60 39.5N 29.1W 1002 36 1200UTC 03.09.2016 72 40.9N 26.3W 1005 29 0000UTC 04.09.2016 84 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE LESTER ANALYSED POSITION : 17.7N 138.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP132016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 31.08.2016 0 17.7N 138.0W 990 49 0000UTC 01.09.2016 12 18.1N 140.1W 991 48 1200UTC 01.09.2016 24 18.5N 142.5W 995 46 0000UTC 02.09.2016 36 19.0N 144.9W 998 45 1200UTC 02.09.2016 48 19.4N 147.7W 1002 40 0000UTC 03.09.2016 60 20.0N 150.4W 1004 40 1200UTC 03.09.2016 72 20.3N 153.5W 1007 35 0000UTC 04.09.2016 84 21.3N 156.4W 1009 34 1200UTC 04.09.2016 96 22.1N 159.8W 1010 29 0000UTC 05.09.2016 108 23.3N 162.7W 1011 28 1200UTC 05.09.2016 120 25.1N 164.7W 1011 31 0000UTC 06.09.2016 132 27.0N 165.9W 1010 33 1200UTC 06.09.2016 144 29.3N 167.3W 1012 34 TROPICAL DEPRESSION 09L ANALYSED POSITION : 24.2N 87.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL092016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 31.08.2016 0 24.2N 87.9W 1001 32 0000UTC 01.09.2016 12 25.2N 87.7W 995 41 1200UTC 01.09.2016 24 26.5N 86.9W 985 56 0000UTC 02.09.2016 36 28.7N 85.8W 975 61 1200UTC 02.09.2016 48 31.4N 83.7W 975 43 0000UTC 03.09.2016 60 33.7N 80.3W 989 54 1200UTC 03.09.2016 72 36.4N 76.6W 995 53 0000UTC 04.09.2016 84 37.6N 72.9W 993 53 1200UTC 04.09.2016 96 38.6N 71.7W 989 60 0000UTC 05.09.2016 108 39.0N 71.0W 984 60 1200UTC 05.09.2016 120 39.2N 71.7W 978 58 0000UTC 06.09.2016 132 39.4N 70.6W 983 52 1200UTC 06.09.2016 144 40.3N 69.2W 991 42 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 33.5N 77.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 01.09.2016 24 33.5N 77.7W 1009 26 0000UTC 02.09.2016 36 34.7N 73.6W 1006 34 1200UTC 02.09.2016 48 35.6N 67.9W 1005 36 0000UTC 03.09.2016 60 36.3N 61.6W 1006 32 1200UTC 03.09.2016 72 36.8N 54.6W 1003 38 0000UTC 04.09.2016 84 37.3N 47.0W 1002 37 1200UTC 04.09.2016 96 38.1N 41.1W 1001 39 0000UTC 05.09.2016 108 40.3N 34.2W 1001 39 1200UTC 05.09.2016 120 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 17.6N 106.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 04.09.2016 96 18.1N 107.0W 1001 30 0000UTC 05.09.2016 108 18.4N 108.6W 999 33 1200UTC 05.09.2016 120 18.3N 109.5W 998 33 0000UTC 06.09.2016 132 18.8N 110.2W 997 34 1200UTC 06.09.2016 144 19.8N 111.3W 997 36 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 16.3N 65.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 05.09.2016 120 16.3N 65.8W 1008 36 0000UTC 06.09.2016 132 17.1N 68.2W 1006 39 1200UTC 06.09.2016 144 17.7N 70.6W 1005 42 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 12.3N 134.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 06.09.2016 132 12.3N 134.2W 1007 23 1200UTC 06.09.2016 144 13.1N 133.8W 1007 23 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 311732