WTNT82 EGRR 121619 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 12.09.2016 TROPICAL STORM IAN ANALYSED POSITION : 21.4N 49.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL102016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 12.09.2016 0 21.4N 49.7W 1008 35 0000UTC 13.09.2016 12 22.9N 51.4W 1008 33 1200UTC 13.09.2016 24 24.9N 52.8W 1009 33 0000UTC 14.09.2016 36 26.2N 53.7W 1009 33 1200UTC 14.09.2016 48 29.0N 54.3W 1006 42 0000UTC 15.09.2016 60 31.4N 54.2W 995 47 1200UTC 15.09.2016 72 34.1N 53.6W 989 55 0000UTC 16.09.2016 84 37.2N 51.1W 983 58 1200UTC 16.09.2016 96 41.1N 45.9W 973 65 0000UTC 17.09.2016 108 47.0N 37.5W 974 62 1200UTC 17.09.2016 120 54.1N 27.9W 979 49 0000UTC 18.09.2016 132 POST-TROPICAL HURRICANE ORLENE ANALYSED POSITION : 17.2N 119.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP162016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 12.09.2016 0 17.2N 119.3W 984 53 0000UTC 13.09.2016 12 18.5N 119.7W 982 61 1200UTC 13.09.2016 24 19.2N 119.8W 979 60 0000UTC 14.09.2016 36 19.8N 119.9W 980 60 1200UTC 14.09.2016 48 19.6N 120.2W 983 55 0000UTC 15.09.2016 60 19.4N 121.1W 989 51 1200UTC 15.09.2016 72 19.4N 122.8W 991 49 0000UTC 16.09.2016 84 19.0N 124.9W 994 44 1200UTC 16.09.2016 96 18.9N 127.6W 998 38 0000UTC 17.09.2016 108 18.9N 130.3W 998 37 1200UTC 17.09.2016 120 18.9N 132.2W 998 40 0000UTC 18.09.2016 132 19.2N 133.6W 1000 35 1200UTC 18.09.2016 144 19.5N 134.6W 1003 32 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 66 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 66 : 18.2N 30.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 15.09.2016 72 18.0N 31.4W 1010 31 0000UTC 16.09.2016 84 17.9N 34.1W 1010 28 1200UTC 16.09.2016 96 18.5N 34.6W 1009 28 0000UTC 17.09.2016 108 18.8N 35.9W 1009 26 1200UTC 17.09.2016 120 19.1N 37.5W 1009 28 0000UTC 18.09.2016 132 18.6N 39.3W 1008 28 1200UTC 18.09.2016 144 18.9N 40.8W 1007 30 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 13.0N 99.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 16.09.2016 84 13.0N 99.4W 1006 24 1200UTC 16.09.2016 96 13.3N 101.1W 1002 32 0000UTC 17.09.2016 108 14.7N 102.9W 995 39 1200UTC 17.09.2016 120 15.4N 105.5W 986 50 0000UTC 18.09.2016 132 15.9N 107.4W 983 51 1200UTC 18.09.2016 144 16.5N 109.2W 981 56 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 12.6N 19.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 17.09.2016 108 12.6N 19.5W 1009 23 1200UTC 17.09.2016 120 11.9N 21.4W 1006 27 0000UTC 18.09.2016 132 13.1N 23.2W 1002 36 1200UTC 18.09.2016 144 13.8N 25.1W 992 51 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 121618