WTPZ32 KNHC 202042 RRA

TCPEP2



BULLETIN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAINE ADVISORY NUMBER  12

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172016

200 PM PDT TUE SEP 20 2016



...PAINE EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT...





SUMMARY OF 200 PM PDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION

----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...27.2N 116.9W

ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM WSW OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 15 MPH...24 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.





DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

AT 200 PM PDT (2100 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION PAINE

WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.2 NORTH, LONGITUDE 116.9 WEST.  THE

DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 15 MPH (24 KM/H).  A TURN

TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST IS EXPECTED TONIGHT, FOLLOWED BY A TURN

TOWARD THE NORTHEAST AND A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED ON WEDNESDAY.

ON THE FORECAST TRACK, PAINE WILL APPROACH THE NORTHWEST COAST OF

THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TONIGHT AND EARLY WEDNESDAY.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH

HIGHER GUSTS.  ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST, AND PAINE IS

EXPECTED TO BECOME A REMNANT LOW TONIGHT, AND DISSIPATE BY EARLY

THURSDAY.



THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB (29.68 INCHES).





HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

RAINFALL:  PAINE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3

INCHES ACROSS THE NORTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITH ISOLATED

STORM TOTAL AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES THROUGH WEDNESDAY.=