WTNT82 EGRR 261619



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 26.09.2016



   TROPICAL DEPRESSION 19E        ANALYSED POSITION : 10.8N 140.8W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP192016



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 26.09.2016    0  10.8N 140.8W     1007            21

    0000UTC 27.09.2016   12  12.0N 140.5W     1005            25

    1200UTC 27.09.2016   24  12.8N 140.8W     1004            28

    0000UTC 28.09.2016   36  13.5N 140.4W     1002            32

    1200UTC 28.09.2016   48  14.5N 140.2W     1001            34

    0000UTC 29.09.2016   60  15.3N 140.2W     1002            37

    1200UTC 29.09.2016   72  15.8N 140.6W     1005            32

    0000UTC 30.09.2016   84  16.4N 141.3W     1006            31

    1200UTC 30.09.2016   96  16.6N 142.3W     1008            30

    0000UTC 01.10.2016  108  16.7N 143.5W     1008            30

    1200UTC 01.10.2016  120  16.7N 144.9W     1010            27

    0000UTC 02.10.2016  132  16.6N 147.2W     1010            28

    1200UTC 02.10.2016  144              CEASED TRACKING



        TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN     ANALYSED POSITION : 17.0N 119.9W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182016



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 26.09.2016    0  17.0N 119.9W     1004            30

    0000UTC 27.09.2016   12  17.4N 119.8W     1003            27

    1200UTC 27.09.2016   24  17.3N 119.4W     1004            23

    0000UTC 28.09.2016   36  18.6N 118.9W     1004            22

    1200UTC 28.09.2016   48  20.1N 118.8W     1005            27

    0000UTC 29.09.2016   60  21.4N 118.4W     1007            26

    1200UTC 29.09.2016   72  22.3N 119.0W     1011            19

    0000UTC 30.09.2016   84              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  36 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 21.3N  96.8W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 28.09.2016   36  21.3N  96.8W     1007            32

    1200UTC 28.09.2016   48  21.9N  96.9W     1006            38

    0000UTC 29.09.2016   60  21.9N  97.0W     1008            34

    1200UTC 29.09.2016   72  22.0N  97.3W     1011            24

    0000UTC 30.09.2016   84              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 12.9N  64.5W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 29.09.2016   72  12.9N  64.5W     1007            36

    0000UTC 30.09.2016   84  12.5N  67.1W     1002            39

    1200UTC 30.09.2016   96  11.9N  69.4W      997            47

    0000UTC 01.10.2016  108  11.5N  71.4W      993            49

    1200UTC 01.10.2016  120  11.8N  72.9W     1000            45

    0000UTC 02.10.2016  132  11.9N  75.0W      998            38

    1200UTC 02.10.2016  144  12.8N  75.7W      988            56



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  72 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 14.0N 133.3W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 29.09.2016   72  14.0N 133.3W     1009            19

    0000UTC 30.09.2016   84  13.9N 133.5W     1009            19

    1200UTC 30.09.2016   96  14.1N 134.1W     1010            23

    0000UTC 01.10.2016  108  14.0N 134.9W     1009            23

    1200UTC 01.10.2016  120  13.2N 136.2W     1010            26

    0000UTC 02.10.2016  132  12.2N 138.0W     1009            23

    1200UTC 02.10.2016  144              CEASED TRACKING





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 261618