WTNT35 KNHC 150245 RRA

TCPAT5



BULLETIN

TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ADVISORY NUMBER  44

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152016

1100 PM AST FRI OCT 14 2016



...NICOLE NOW A TROPICAL STORM BUT FORECAST TO RESTRENGTHEN ON

SATURDAY...





SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...37.4N 53.3W

ABOUT 640 MI...1035 KM S OF CAPE RACE NEWFOUNDLAND

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 65 DEGREES AT 16 MPH...26 KM/H

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...978 MB...28.88 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.





DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

AT 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NICOLE WAS

LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 37.4 NORTH, LONGITUDE 53.3 WEST.  NICOLE IS

MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH (26 KM/H).  A DECREASE

IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS, WITH A

TURN TO THE EAST FORECAST SATURDAY NIGHT.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH (110 KM/H)

WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME RESTRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED, AND NICOLE

IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE HURRICANE-FORCE WINDS AGAIN ON SATURDAY.

ALTHOUGH THERE IS STILL A CHANCE THAT NICOLE COULD BECOME

POST-TROPICAL OVER THE WEEKEND, THE CYCLONE IS NOW FORECAST TO

MAINTAIN TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS FOR THE NEXT SEVERAL DAYS.



TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 310 MILES (500 KM)

FROM THE CENTER.



THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 978 MB (28.88 INCHES).





HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

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SURF:  SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH NICOLE WILL CONTINUE TO AFFECT BERMUDA=