WTNT82 EGRR 051619 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 05.10.2016 HURRICANE MATTHEW ANALYSED POSITION : 21.7N 74.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 05.10.2016 0 21.7N 74.7W 980 67 0000UTC 06.10.2016 12 23.1N 76.1W 983 56 1200UTC 06.10.2016 24 24.6N 77.6W 980 55 0000UTC 07.10.2016 36 26.4N 79.2W 974 60 1200UTC 07.10.2016 48 28.8N 80.4W 966 62 0000UTC 08.10.2016 60 30.9N 80.7W 963 67 1200UTC 08.10.2016 72 32.8N 80.0W 970 56 0000UTC 09.10.2016 84 33.4N 77.8W 985 50 1200UTC 09.10.2016 96 33.8N 75.7W 990 56 0000UTC 10.10.2016 108 32.8N 73.4W 995 54 1200UTC 10.10.2016 120 31.9N 73.1W 998 45 0000UTC 11.10.2016 132 29.7N 73.7W 1002 39 1200UTC 11.10.2016 144 28.3N 75.8W 1003 34 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ANALYSED POSITION : 24.7N 62.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 05.10.2016 0 24.7N 62.4W 1003 46 0000UTC 06.10.2016 12 25.6N 63.5W 999 49 1200UTC 06.10.2016 24 26.6N 64.7W 997 47 0000UTC 07.10.2016 36 27.0N 65.6W 996 51 1200UTC 07.10.2016 48 26.9N 66.3W 998 43 0000UTC 08.10.2016 60 26.4N 66.6W 998 39 1200UTC 08.10.2016 72 25.5N 67.1W 998 36 0000UTC 09.10.2016 84 24.5N 67.5W 996 41 1200UTC 09.10.2016 96 23.8N 68.2W 996 40 0000UTC 10.10.2016 108 23.4N 68.4W 994 43 1200UTC 10.10.2016 120 23.4N 68.6W 994 43 0000UTC 11.10.2016 132 24.1N 68.2W 993 43 1200UTC 11.10.2016 144 25.5N 68.5W 997 39 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 35.7N 31.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 09.10.2016 96 36.0N 29.5W 1008 31 0000UTC 10.10.2016 108 35.8N 29.0W 994 50 1200UTC 10.10.2016 120 34.7N 27.6W 994 37 0000UTC 11.10.2016 132 33.4N 27.7W 998 33 1200UTC 11.10.2016 144 32.2N 28.1W 999 29 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 11.6N 153.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 10.10.2016 120 12.1N 152.9W 1005 23 0000UTC 11.10.2016 132 11.9N 155.1W 1004 24 1200UTC 11.10.2016 144 11.5N 156.4W 1004 26 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.8N 122.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 10.10.2016 120 14.3N 122.8W 1004 26 0000UTC 11.10.2016 132 15.3N 124.8W 1004 27 1200UTC 11.10.2016 144 15.5N 126.1W 1004 27 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 15.4N 116.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 11.10.2016 144 15.6N 117.7W 1004 29 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 051619