WTNT82 EGRR 060419 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 06.10.2016 HURRICANE MATTHEW ANALYSED POSITION : 23.1N 76.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 06.10.2016 0 23.1N 76.1W 983 52 1200UTC 06.10.2016 12 24.7N 77.6W 980 55 0000UTC 07.10.2016 24 26.4N 79.4W 974 58 1200UTC 07.10.2016 36 28.6N 80.4W 972 56 0000UTC 08.10.2016 48 30.5N 80.9W 971 58 1200UTC 08.10.2016 60 32.4N 80.2W 969 59 0000UTC 09.10.2016 72 33.1N 78.0W 984 58 1200UTC 09.10.2016 84 33.9N 75.9W 989 55 0000UTC 10.10.2016 96 33.3N 73.2W 995 53 1200UTC 10.10.2016 108 32.9N 71.8W 1000 48 0000UTC 11.10.2016 120 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ANALYSED POSITION : 25.6N 63.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 06.10.2016 0 25.6N 63.8W 993 59 1200UTC 06.10.2016 12 26.5N 65.4W 989 58 0000UTC 07.10.2016 24 27.2N 66.4W 993 57 1200UTC 07.10.2016 36 27.5N 67.3W 997 45 0000UTC 08.10.2016 48 27.2N 67.3W 995 42 1200UTC 08.10.2016 60 26.5N 67.7W 995 41 0000UTC 09.10.2016 72 26.1N 68.4W 994 43 1200UTC 09.10.2016 84 26.4N 69.1W 998 43 0000UTC 10.10.2016 96 27.4N 69.1W 999 39 1200UTC 10.10.2016 108 29.5N 68.5W 998 45 0000UTC 11.10.2016 120 32.4N 69.6W 1001 38 1200UTC 11.10.2016 132 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 12.3N 118.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 08.10.2016 60 12.3N 118.9W 1005 24 0000UTC 09.10.2016 72 12.9N 118.4W 1004 25 1200UTC 09.10.2016 84 13.5N 118.4W 1005 24 0000UTC 10.10.2016 96 14.0N 119.3W 1004 27 1200UTC 10.10.2016 108 14.9N 120.7W 1004 28 0000UTC 11.10.2016 120 15.9N 122.9W 1004 27 1200UTC 11.10.2016 132 16.2N 124.7W 1005 27 0000UTC 12.10.2016 144 16.3N 126.4W 1005 27 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 32.4N 50.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 08.10.2016 60 32.4N 50.5W 1008 34 0000UTC 09.10.2016 72 31.8N 51.0W 1010 32 1200UTC 09.10.2016 84 31.3N 51.0W 1011 29 0000UTC 10.10.2016 96 31.0N 52.1W 1012 28 1200UTC 10.10.2016 108 33.3N 53.5W 1013 26 0000UTC 11.10.2016 120 35.9N 53.1W 1014 25 1200UTC 11.10.2016 132 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 11.9N 155.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 11.10.2016 120 11.3N 156.7W 1005 25 1200UTC 11.10.2016 132 12.1N 157.7W 1005 28 0000UTC 12.10.2016 144 12.3N 159.8W 1003 30 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 11.0N 99.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 11.10.2016 120 11.0N 99.7W 1006 28 1200UTC 11.10.2016 132 12.6N 102.4W 1007 26 0000UTC 12.10.2016 144 13.9N 105.8W 1005 25 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 28.0N 72.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 11.10.2016 132 28.0N 72.1W 1002 35 0000UTC 12.10.2016 144 28.2N 73.6W 1002 29 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 16.7N 119.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 12.10.2016 144 16.7N 119.6W 1005 26 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 060418