WTNT82 EGRR 061619 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 06.10.2016 HURRICANE MATTHEW ANALYSED POSITION : 24.7N 77.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 06.10.2016 0 24.7N 77.5W 971 66 0000UTC 07.10.2016 12 26.7N 79.2W 969 65 1200UTC 07.10.2016 24 28.9N 80.6W 963 66 0000UTC 08.10.2016 36 30.8N 81.1W 967 57 1200UTC 08.10.2016 48 32.2N 80.6W 977 48 0000UTC 09.10.2016 60 32.5N 78.7W 988 41 1200UTC 09.10.2016 72 32.8N 76.7W 994 49 0000UTC 10.10.2016 84 31.9N 75.0W 997 50 1200UTC 10.10.2016 96 30.6N 74.7W 1002 41 0000UTC 11.10.2016 108 28.3N 76.7W 1004 37 1200UTC 11.10.2016 120 26.1N 79.2W 1005 32 0000UTC 12.10.2016 132 24.9N 81.2W 1004 29 1200UTC 12.10.2016 144 24.7N 81.4W 1004 23 TROPICAL STORM NICOLE ANALYSED POSITION : 26.4N 65.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 06.10.2016 0 26.4N 65.1W 993 50 0000UTC 07.10.2016 12 27.2N 65.9W 991 53 1200UTC 07.10.2016 24 27.2N 66.4W 993 50 0000UTC 08.10.2016 36 26.6N 66.8W 996 40 1200UTC 08.10.2016 48 25.6N 66.8W 996 36 0000UTC 09.10.2016 60 24.7N 67.1W 995 42 1200UTC 09.10.2016 72 23.9N 67.7W 993 48 0000UTC 10.10.2016 84 23.6N 67.9W 990 50 1200UTC 10.10.2016 96 23.4N 68.1W 991 50 0000UTC 11.10.2016 108 23.9N 68.0W 988 52 1200UTC 11.10.2016 120 24.8N 68.7W 990 51 0000UTC 12.10.2016 132 25.5N 69.2W 984 55 1200UTC 12.10.2016 144 26.7N 69.4W 983 57 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 12.8N 118.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 08.10.2016 48 12.5N 118.4W 1005 24 0000UTC 09.10.2016 60 13.0N 117.6W 1004 24 1200UTC 09.10.2016 72 13.3N 117.9W 1005 24 0000UTC 10.10.2016 84 13.2N 118.6W 1004 25 1200UTC 10.10.2016 96 13.2N 120.3W 1004 26 0000UTC 11.10.2016 108 13.9N 120.5W 1004 22 1200UTC 11.10.2016 120 14.3N 121.1W 1004 27 0000UTC 12.10.2016 132 16.4N 120.7W 1003 27 1200UTC 12.10.2016 144 18.8N 123.0W 1005 27 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 10.9N 126.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 09.10.2016 60 10.9N 126.3W 1006 21 1200UTC 09.10.2016 72 11.0N 126.0W 1006 22 0000UTC 10.10.2016 84 11.3N 126.1W 1005 22 1200UTC 10.10.2016 96 11.7N 126.1W 1005 22 0000UTC 11.10.2016 108 11.9N 126.1W 1005 20 1200UTC 11.10.2016 120 12.1N 125.9W 1005 26 0000UTC 12.10.2016 132 13.1N 125.6W 1005 23 1200UTC 12.10.2016 144 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 12.0N 152.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 10.10.2016 96 11.8N 152.9W 1005 25 0000UTC 11.10.2016 108 11.9N 154.6W 1004 25 1200UTC 11.10.2016 120 11.9N 156.9W 1004 26 0000UTC 12.10.2016 132 12.3N 159.2W 1003 32 1200UTC 12.10.2016 144 12.6N 162.2W 1003 32 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 10.8N 98.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 11.10.2016 108 11.3N 99.7W 1005 31 1200UTC 11.10.2016 120 13.0N 103.1W 1003 34 0000UTC 12.10.2016 132 13.9N 106.6W 999 38 1200UTC 12.10.2016 144 14.7N 109.9W 996 43 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 37.3N 48.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 12.10.2016 144 37.3N 48.5W 1014 35 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 061618