WTNT82 EGRR 070419 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 07.10.2016 HURRICANE MATTHEW ANALYSED POSITION : 26.7N 79.0W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 07.10.2016 0 26.7N 79.0W 965 66 1200UTC 07.10.2016 12 28.8N 80.4W 962 69 0000UTC 08.10.2016 24 30.9N 80.6W 965 63 1200UTC 08.10.2016 36 33.0N 79.9W 971 55 0000UTC 09.10.2016 48 33.8N 77.3W 983 50 1200UTC 09.10.2016 60 34.4N 74.8W 987 58 0000UTC 10.10.2016 72 34.7N 71.9W 992 54 1200UTC 10.10.2016 84 34.6N 69.4W 991 55 0000UTC 11.10.2016 96 35.7N 67.5W 991 64 1200UTC 11.10.2016 108 36.4N 66.3W 994 47 0000UTC 12.10.2016 120 36.7N 66.5W 993 45 1200UTC 12.10.2016 132 36.1N 65.4W 998 33 0000UTC 13.10.2016 144 36.7N 63.9W 1002 29 HURRICANE NICOLE ANALYSED POSITION : 27.5N 65.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152016 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 07.10.2016 0 27.5N 65.4W 1000 41 1200UTC 07.10.2016 12 27.5N 65.6W 1000 39 0000UTC 08.10.2016 24 26.6N 65.6W 999 36 1200UTC 08.10.2016 36 25.4N 65.6W 999 36 0000UTC 09.10.2016 48 24.5N 65.8W 996 45 1200UTC 09.10.2016 60 23.9N 66.1W 996 42 0000UTC 10.10.2016 72 23.6N 66.1W 989 53 1200UTC 10.10.2016 84 23.5N 66.1W 987 49 0000UTC 11.10.2016 96 24.2N 65.9W 987 51 1200UTC 11.10.2016 108 25.2N 65.8W 983 56 0000UTC 12.10.2016 120 26.6N 65.3W 981 54 1200UTC 12.10.2016 132 28.1N 64.5W 983 57 0000UTC 13.10.2016 144 30.3N 63.3W 982 56 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 12.4N 118.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 08.10.2016 36 12.4N 118.9W 1005 23 0000UTC 09.10.2016 48 13.0N 118.7W 1004 25 1200UTC 09.10.2016 60 13.1N 118.4W 1005 22 0000UTC 10.10.2016 72 13.4N 119.4W 1004 28 1200UTC 10.10.2016 84 13.2N 120.8W 1003 29 0000UTC 11.10.2016 96 13.9N 121.7W 1002 27 1200UTC 11.10.2016 108 14.7N 122.1W 1000 36 0000UTC 12.10.2016 120 16.9N 122.2W 1000 30 1200UTC 12.10.2016 132 18.9N 124.2W 1003 32 0000UTC 13.10.2016 144 19.4N 125.9W 1003 35 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 11.2N 101.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 11.10.2016 108 11.7N 102.9W 1005 27 0000UTC 12.10.2016 120 13.0N 106.6W 1003 31 1200UTC 12.10.2016 132 13.6N 110.1W 1000 39 0000UTC 13.10.2016 144 14.3N 113.2W 989 48 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 12.3N 157.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 12.10.2016 120 12.3N 157.4W 1005 26 1200UTC 12.10.2016 132 12.9N 160.0W 1005 25 0000UTC 13.10.2016 144 13.9N 162.2W 1005 31 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 070419