WTNT31 KNHC 211433 RRA

TCPAT1



BULLETIN

TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN ADVISORY NUMBER   2

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL162016

1000 AM EST MON NOV 21 2016



...DEPRESSION MOVING LITTLE...





SUMMARY OF 1000 AM EST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION

-----------------------------------------------

LOCATION...11.5N 79.3W

ABOUT 175 MI...285 KM ESE OF SAN ANDRES ISLAND

ABOUT 305 MI...495 KM E OF BLUEFIELDS NICARAGUA

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H

PRESENT MOVEMENT...STATIONARY

MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB...29.59 INCHES





WATCHES AND WARNINGS

--------------------

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.



INTERESTS IN NICARAGUA, COSTA RICA, AND THE ISLANDS OF SAN ANDRES

AND PROVIDENCIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM, SINCE A

TROPICAL STORM WATCH MAY BE REQUIRED LATER TODAY OR TONIGHT.





DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK

------------------------------

AT 1000 AM EST (1500 UTC), THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN

WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 79.3 WEST.  THE

DEPRESSION IS NEARLY STATIONARY.  A WEST-SOUTHWESTWARD TO WESTWARD

DRIFT IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.



MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH (55 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.

SOME STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS, AND THE

DEPRESSION IS LIKELY TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.



THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB (29.59 INCHES).





HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND

----------------------

RAINFALL:  OUTER RAIN BANDS FROM THE DEPRESSION ARE EXPECTED TO

PRODUCE RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES ACROSS PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL AND WESTERN PANAMA AND SOUTHEASTERN COSTA RICA THROUGH=