WTXS31 PGTW 290900

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (THREE) WARNING NR 008//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03S (THREE) WARNING NR 008

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   290600Z --- NEAR 19.3S 109.6E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 315 DEGREES AT 03 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

   REPEAT POSIT: 19.3S 109.6E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   291800Z --- 19.3S 108.4E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER

    ---

REMARKS:

290900Z POSITION NEAR 19.3S 109.3E.

TROPICAL CYCLONE (TC) 03S (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 310 NM

NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED NORTHWESTWARD AT

03 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE

IMAGERY DEPICTS AN EXPOSED, WELL-DEFINED LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION

CENTER (LLCC) EMBEDDED WITHIN AN EXTENSIVE STRATOCUMULUS FIELD. A

290126Z ASCAT IMAGE DEPICTS 25 TO 30 KNOTS WINDS ASSOCIATED WITH THE

RAPIDLY WEAKENING LLCC. THE INITIAL INTENSITY OF 30 KNOTS IS BASED

PRIMARILY ON THE ASCAT DATA. TC 03S IS EXPECTED TO TRACK SLOWLY

WESTWARD AS INDICATED BY ALL THE DYNAMIC MODEL GUIDANCE. THE SYSTEM

WILL CONTINUE TO WEAKEN DUE TO UNFAVORABLE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS

(COOLER SST, AND ENTRAINMENT OF STABLE, COOLER AIR). THIS IS THE

FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL

HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF

REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 290600Z IS 12

FEET.//