WTXS52 PGTW 080900 WARNING ATCG MIL 15S SIO 170408080502 2017040806 15S ERNIE 005 01 215 05 SATL 020 T000 166S 1100E 095 R064 030 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 025 NW QD R050 060 NE QD 065 SE QD 060 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 120 SE QD 115 SW QD 095 NW QD T012 169S 1088E 075 R064 010 NE QD 035 SE QD 030 SW QD 005 NW QD R050 025 NE QD 045 SE QD 040 SW QD 015 NW QD R034 070 NE QD 105 SE QD 095 SW QD 055 NW QD T024 174S 1075E 060 R050 015 NE QD 035 SE QD 025 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 065 NE QD 090 SE QD 075 SW QD 030 NW QD T036 180S 1055E 050 R050 005 NE QD 050 SE QD 015 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 025 NE QD 070 SE QD 055 SW QD 010 NW QD T048 188S 1032E 035 R034 010 NE QD 060 SE QD 050 SW QD 005 NW QD T072 205S 0992E 020 AMP 048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (ERNIE) WARNING NR 005 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (ERNIE) WARNING NR 005 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN SOUTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 080600Z --- NEAR 16.6S 110.0E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 215 DEGREES AT 05 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 020 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 025 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 120 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 115 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 095 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 16.6S 110.0E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 081800Z --- 16.9S 108.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 015 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 07 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 090600Z --- 17.4S 107.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 035 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 065 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 091800Z --- 18.0S 105.5E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 005 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 12 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 100600Z --- 18.8S 103.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 035 KT, GUSTS 045 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 005 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 10 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 110600Z --- 20.5S 99.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 020 KT, GUSTS 030 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 080900Z POSITION NEAR 16.7S 109.7E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 15S (ERNIE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 413 NM NORTHWEST OF LEARMONTH, AUSTRALIA, HAS TRACKED SOUTHWESTWARD AT 05 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 080600Z IS 25 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 082100Z AND 090900Z.// 1517040418 114S1147E 15 1517040500 116S1134E 15 1517040506 119S1123E 15 1517040512 122S1116E 25 1517040518 125S1112E 25 1517040600 129S1110E 30 1517040606 133S1108E 35 1517040612 138S1107E 35 1517040618 145S1105E 40 1517040700 149S1104E 65 1517040700 149S1104E 65 1517040706 154S1103E 95 1517040706 154S1103E 95 1517040706 154S1103E 95 1517040712 158S1104E 105 1517040712 158S1104E 105 1517040712 158S1104E 105 1517040718 159S1104E 130 1517040718 159S1104E 130 1517040718 159S1104E 130 1517040800 162S1103E 110 1517040800 162S1103E 110 1517040800 162S1103E 110 1517040806 166S1100E 95 1517040806 166S1100E 95 1517040806 166S1100E 95