WTPS52 PGTW 101500 WARNING ATCG MIL 19P SWP 170510132259 2017051012 19P ELLA 004 02 285 11 SATL 030 T000 143S 1764W 050 R050 010 NE QD 025 SE QD 000 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 075 NE QD 080 SE QD 055 SW QD 030 NW QD T012 146S 1780W 050 R050 015 NE QD 015 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 080 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW QD 030 NW QD T024 150S 1792W 050 R050 015 NE QD 020 SE QD 010 SW QD 000 NW QD R034 090 NE QD 080 SE QD 065 SW QD 040 NW QD T036 154S 1799E 045 R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 050 NW QD T048 155S 1793E 045 R034 080 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 050 NW QD T072 151S 1782E 040 R034 060 NE QD 070 SE QD 065 SW QD 050 NW QD T096 145S 1766E 030 AMP 072HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 096HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (ELLA) WARNING NR 004 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (ELLA) WARNING NR 004 02 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONES IN SOUTHPAC MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 101200Z --- NEAR 14.3S 176.4W MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 285 DEGREES AT 11 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 030 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 010 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 000 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 075 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 14.3S 176.4W --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 110000Z --- 14.6S 178.0W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 015 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 250 DEG/ 06 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 111200Z --- 15.0S 179.2W MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 015 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 010 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 000 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 245 DEG/ 05 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 120000Z --- 15.4S 179.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 260 DEG/ 03 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 121200Z --- 15.5S 179.3E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 03 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 131200Z --- 15.1S 178.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 040 KT, GUSTS 050 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 070 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 065 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 04 KTS --- LONG RANGE OUTLOOK: --- 96 HRS, VALID AT: 141200Z --- 14.5S 176.6E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 101500Z POSITION NEAR 14.4S 176.8W. TROPICAL CYCLONE 19P (ELLA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 215 NM WEST- SOUTHWEST OF AVATA SAMOA, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101200Z IS 16 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 110300Z AND 111500Z. FOR SIX-HOURLY UPDATES. // 1917050712 173S1750W 20 1917050718 169S1745W 20 1917050800 166S1739W 25 1917050806 163S1732W 25 1917050812 159S1725W 30 1917050818 155S1724W 30 1917050900 152S1728W 35 1917050906 150S1730W 40 1917050912 149S1732W 45 1917050918 149S1734W 45 1917051000 148S1744W 45 1917051006 146S1753W 45 1917051012 143S1764W 50 1917051012 143S1764W 50