WTPN32 PHNC 151600

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/HURRICANE 06E (FERNANDA) WARNING NR 015//

RMKS/

1. HURRICANE 06E (FERNANDA) WARNING NR 015

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN EASTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   151200Z --- NEAR 11.0N 122.4W

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 275 DEGREES AT 11 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 11.0N 122.4W

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   160000Z --- 11.5N 124.8W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 060 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 13 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   161200Z --- 12.3N 127.3W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 130 KT, GUSTS 160 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 080 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            080 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 285 DEG/ 12 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   170000Z --- 13.0N 129.7W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 125 KT, GUSTS 150 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 025 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 090 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            070 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 11 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   171200Z --- 13.8N 131.9W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 120 KT, GUSTS 145 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            090 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 09 KTS

    ---

   72 HRS, VALID AT:

   181200Z --- 15.3N 135.3W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

    ---

   96 HRS, VALID AT:

   191200Z --- 16.5N 138.0W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 070 KT, GUSTS 085 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   120 HRS, VALID AT:

   201200Z --- 17.0N 141.0W

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

REMARKS:

151600Z POSITION NEAR 11.2N 123.2W.

HURRICANE 06E (FERNANDA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 1334 NM SOUTH-

SOUTHWEST OF SAN DIEGO, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 11 KNOTS OVER THE

PAST SIX HOURS.

MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 151200Z IS 45 FEET. NEXT

WARNINGS AT 152200Z, 160400Z, 161000Z AND 161600Z.

//