WTPZ24 KNHC 292044 RRA

TCMEP4



POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1

NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142017

2100 UTC TUE AUG 29 2017



CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...



THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH AND A

TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM

TODOS SANTOS TO LOS BARRILES INCLUDING CABO SAN LUCAS.



SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...



A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...

. TODOS SANTOS TO LOS BARRILES



A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...

. TODOS SANTOS TO LOS BARRILES



A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE

WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.  A WATCH IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 48 HOURS

BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE

WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR

DANGEROUS.



A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE

EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.



INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR

SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.



POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.2W AT 29/2100Z

POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM



PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT



ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB

MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  25 KT WITH GUSTS TO  35 KT.

WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL

MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.



REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 107.2W AT 29/2100Z

AT 29/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 107.0W



FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.1N 108.0W