WTNT82 EGRR 110414 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 11.09.2017 HURRICANE IRMA ANALYSED POSITION : 26.7N 81.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 11.09.2017 0 26.7N 81.6W 950 63 1200UTC 11.09.2017 12 29.8N 82.7W 964 66 0000UTC 12.09.2017 24 32.2N 84.2W 985 35 1200UTC 12.09.2017 36 34.1N 86.3W 998 26 0000UTC 13.09.2017 48 34.9N 88.5W 1002 18 1200UTC 13.09.2017 60 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 23.3N 67.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 11.09.2017 0 23.3N 67.6W 987 62 1200UTC 11.09.2017 12 25.0N 69.4W 991 50 0000UTC 12.09.2017 24 26.6N 69.8W 988 51 1200UTC 12.09.2017 36 27.0N 69.0W 974 66 0000UTC 13.09.2017 48 26.5N 67.6W 969 67 1200UTC 13.09.2017 60 25.3N 67.1W 966 73 0000UTC 14.09.2017 72 24.1N 67.2W 958 73 1200UTC 14.09.2017 84 23.1N 68.6W 958 76 0000UTC 15.09.2017 96 22.8N 70.5W 952 83 1200UTC 15.09.2017 108 22.8N 73.0W 947 86 0000UTC 16.09.2017 120 23.4N 75.5W 944 87 1200UTC 16.09.2017 132 24.1N 77.7W 935 92 0000UTC 17.09.2017 144 25.3N 78.8W 930 93 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 21.9N 37.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 13.09.2017 48 21.9N 37.7W 1012 36 1200UTC 13.09.2017 60 24.9N 39.1W 1012 35 0000UTC 14.09.2017 72 27.8N 40.2W 1013 35 1200UTC 14.09.2017 84 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 10.7N 132.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 13.09.2017 60 10.8N 132.3W 1006 24 0000UTC 14.09.2017 72 10.8N 133.1W 1005 26 1200UTC 14.09.2017 84 11.2N 132.9W 1005 31 0000UTC 15.09.2017 96 11.9N 133.3W 1003 34 1200UTC 15.09.2017 108 13.1N 133.8W 1002 34 0000UTC 16.09.2017 120 14.2N 134.6W 1001 40 1200UTC 16.09.2017 132 14.8N 135.8W 998 44 0000UTC 17.09.2017 144 15.3N 136.7W 998 43 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 78 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 78 : 16.7N 116.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2017 84 17.1N 116.6W 1001 33 0000UTC 15.09.2017 96 18.3N 117.4W 999 34 1200UTC 15.09.2017 108 19.5N 117.7W 998 37 0000UTC 16.09.2017 120 20.6N 117.4W 996 39 1200UTC 16.09.2017 132 21.0N 116.7W 991 47 0000UTC 17.09.2017 144 21.8N 116.0W 985 55 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 12.5N 47.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 16.09.2017 132 12.5N 47.6W 1010 28 0000UTC 17.09.2017 144 13.9N 50.4W 1005 34 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 110414