WTNT82 EGRR 090417 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 09.09.2017 HURRICANE IRMA ANALYSED POSITION : 22.3N 77.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL112017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 09.09.2017 0 22.3N 77.1W 921 97 1200UTC 09.09.2017 12 22.5N 79.2W 940 85 0000UTC 10.09.2017 24 23.0N 80.6W 940 84 1200UTC 10.09.2017 36 23.9N 81.3W 933 83 0000UTC 11.09.2017 48 25.8N 81.8W 922 90 1200UTC 11.09.2017 60 28.3N 82.1W 950 69 0000UTC 12.09.2017 72 31.5N 83.0W 971 55 1200UTC 12.09.2017 84 34.2N 84.8W 992 27 0000UTC 13.09.2017 96 35.9N 87.8W 998 17 1200UTC 13.09.2017 108 35.5N 89.7W 1002 13 0000UTC 14.09.2017 120 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 16.8N 58.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 09.09.2017 0 16.8N 58.6W 970 79 1200UTC 09.09.2017 12 17.8N 60.4W 970 74 0000UTC 10.09.2017 24 19.2N 62.3W 977 67 1200UTC 10.09.2017 36 20.9N 64.6W 978 65 0000UTC 11.09.2017 48 22.8N 66.8W 976 66 1200UTC 11.09.2017 60 24.5N 68.6W 974 69 0000UTC 12.09.2017 72 25.8N 69.4W 972 69 1200UTC 12.09.2017 84 26.7N 69.1W 966 69 0000UTC 13.09.2017 96 27.0N 68.2W 965 67 1200UTC 13.09.2017 108 26.1N 67.3W 953 79 0000UTC 14.09.2017 120 24.8N 66.7W 949 79 1200UTC 14.09.2017 132 23.3N 67.5W 941 87 0000UTC 15.09.2017 144 22.2N 69.3W 938 90 HURRICANE KATIA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.1N 96.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL132017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 09.09.2017 0 21.1N 96.9W 997 56 1200UTC 09.09.2017 12 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 13.6N 93.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 12.09.2017 84 13.6N 93.5W 1005 32 0000UTC 13.09.2017 96 14.1N 93.5W 1003 37 1200UTC 13.09.2017 108 15.0N 93.5W 1004 37 0000UTC 14.09.2017 120 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 18.0N 38.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 12.09.2017 84 18.0N 38.4W 1012 26 0000UTC 13.09.2017 96 20.8N 38.2W 1011 33 1200UTC 13.09.2017 108 22.5N 37.9W 1012 28 0000UTC 14.09.2017 120 24.5N 37.7W 1014 25 1200UTC 14.09.2017 132 26.9N 37.7W 1015 26 0000UTC 15.09.2017 144 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 16.1N 102.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 13.09.2017 108 16.1N 102.1W 1006 30 0000UTC 14.09.2017 120 16.6N 102.4W 1004 31 1200UTC 14.09.2017 132 16.7N 101.6W 1001 48 0000UTC 15.09.2017 144 16.7N 99.9W 1005 31 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 11.1N 127.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 14.09.2017 120 11.1N 127.9W 1006 27 1200UTC 14.09.2017 132 11.8N 126.3W 1006 27 0000UTC 15.09.2017 144 12.8N 124.9W 1006 29 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 14.7N 116.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 14.09.2017 120 14.7N 116.4W 1002 36 1200UTC 14.09.2017 132 16.6N 116.1W 1000 39 0000UTC 15.09.2017 144 18.5N 116.7W 997 43 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 10.7N 29.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 14.09.2017 132 10.7N 31.2W 1009 30 0000UTC 15.09.2017 144 11.3N 35.4W 1007 34 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 090416