WTPN31 PGTW 102100

MSGID/GENADMIN/JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI//

SUBJ/TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING//

RMKS/

1. TROPICAL STORM 20W (TALIM) WARNING NR 009

   01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHWESTPAC

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

    ---

   WARNING POSITION:

   101800Z --- NEAR 17.4N 137.2E

     MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 10 KTS

     POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM

     POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE

   PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 045 KT, GUSTS 055 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            110 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            060 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   REPEAT POSIT: 17.4N 137.2E

    ---

   FORECASTS:

   12 HRS, VALID AT:

   110600Z --- 18.8N 134.4E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            010 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 135 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            145 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            085 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 16 KTS

    ---

   24 HRS, VALID AT:

   111800Z --- 20.1N 131.3E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 060 KT, GUSTS 075 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            020 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 165 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            160 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            090 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            090 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 16 KTS

    ---

   36 HRS, VALID AT:

   120600Z --- 21.2N 128.2E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 080 KT, GUSTS 100 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            030 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            015 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            020 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            060 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            035 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 180 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            185 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            105 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 12 KTS

    ---

   EXTENDED OUTLOOK:

   48 HRS, VALID AT:

   121800Z --- 22.1N 125.7E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 095 KT, GUSTS 115 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 040 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 070 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            080 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 190 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            200 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            125 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            140 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 11 KTS

    ---

   72 HRS, VALID AT:

   131800Z --- 24.2N 121.5E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 105 KT, GUSTS 130 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 045 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            055 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            050 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            040 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 095 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            075 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            075 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 220 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT

                            220 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT

                            165 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT

                            175 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT

   VECTOR TO 96 HR POSIT: 320 DEG/ 10 KTS

    ---

   LONG RANGE OUTLOOK:

    ---

   96 HRS, VALID AT:

   141800Z --- 27.1N 118.5E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 050 KT, GUSTS 065 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

   VECTOR TO 120 HR POSIT: 000 DEG/ 07 KTS

    ---

   120 HRS, VALID AT:

   151800Z --- 29.9N 118.6E

   MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT

   WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY

   DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND

    ---

REMARKS:

102100Z POSITION NEAR 17.7N 136.5E.

TROPICAL STORM 20W (TALIM), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 477 NM NORTH OF

YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX

HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 101800Z IS 13 FEET. NEXT

WARNINGS AT 110300Z, 110900Z, 111500Z AND 112100Z.//