WTNT82 EGRR 170409 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 17.09.2017 HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 28.9N 71.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 17.09.2017 0 28.9N 71.9W 970 68 1200UTC 17.09.2017 12 29.9N 71.7W 960 79 0000UTC 18.09.2017 24 31.4N 71.3W 957 77 1200UTC 18.09.2017 36 33.0N 71.6W 953 70 0000UTC 19.09.2017 48 34.2N 72.0W 950 74 1200UTC 19.09.2017 60 35.6N 72.7W 946 71 0000UTC 20.09.2017 72 37.0N 72.9W 945 69 1200UTC 20.09.2017 84 38.5N 72.9W 958 57 0000UTC 21.09.2017 96 39.4N 72.7W 969 48 1200UTC 21.09.2017 108 39.4N 72.4W 980 44 0000UTC 22.09.2017 120 39.1N 72.1W 988 38 1200UTC 22.09.2017 132 39.3N 72.9W 996 36 0000UTC 23.09.2017 144 39.7N 74.6W 1002 30 TROPICAL STORM LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 13.0N 34.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 17.09.2017 0 13.0N 34.5W 1007 31 1200UTC 17.09.2017 12 13.1N 35.7W 1007 30 0000UTC 18.09.2017 24 13.2N 37.0W 1006 32 1200UTC 18.09.2017 36 13.9N 38.2W 1007 32 0000UTC 19.09.2017 48 15.0N 39.6W 1009 34 1200UTC 19.09.2017 60 16.1N 41.0W 1009 32 0000UTC 20.09.2017 72 17.3N 42.1W 1010 32 1200UTC 20.09.2017 84 18.4N 42.9W 1008 40 0000UTC 21.09.2017 96 18.9N 43.9W 1010 30 1200UTC 21.09.2017 108 19.7N 45.0W 1010 29 0000UTC 22.09.2017 120 21.1N 45.7W 1011 25 1200UTC 22.09.2017 132 23.4N 46.2W 1013 22 0000UTC 23.09.2017 144 26.0N 47.1W 1015 23 TROPICAL STORM MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 12.5N 53.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 17.09.2017 0 12.5N 53.3W 1004 40 1200UTC 17.09.2017 12 13.4N 55.4W 999 46 0000UTC 18.09.2017 24 13.9N 57.3W 994 54 1200UTC 18.09.2017 36 14.4N 58.6W 988 54 0000UTC 19.09.2017 48 15.0N 59.6W 981 64 1200UTC 19.09.2017 60 15.8N 60.9W 975 67 0000UTC 20.09.2017 72 16.7N 62.1W 964 75 1200UTC 20.09.2017 84 17.7N 63.4W 963 72 0000UTC 21.09.2017 96 18.5N 64.5W 951 83 1200UTC 21.09.2017 108 19.2N 65.4W 941 88 0000UTC 22.09.2017 120 20.3N 66.0W 937 89 1200UTC 22.09.2017 132 21.6N 66.8W 937 89 0000UTC 23.09.2017 144 23.4N 67.8W 933 84 TROPICAL STORM NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 19.9N 110.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 17.09.2017 0 19.9N 110.1W 984 51 1200UTC 17.09.2017 12 20.8N 110.6W 981 55 0000UTC 18.09.2017 24 21.5N 111.4W 980 57 1200UTC 18.09.2017 36 21.7N 112.2W 985 57 0000UTC 19.09.2017 48 22.2N 113.2W 994 42 1200UTC 19.09.2017 60 22.6N 114.1W 1000 34 0000UTC 20.09.2017 72 23.0N 114.4W 1003 28 1200UTC 20.09.2017 84 23.1N 114.5W 1005 27 0000UTC 21.09.2017 96 23.5N 114.1W 1006 26 1200UTC 21.09.2017 108 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM OTIS ANALYSED POSITION : 15.9N 126.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 17.09.2017 0 15.9N 126.9W 1002 30 1200UTC 17.09.2017 12 16.2N 127.3W 1000 31 0000UTC 18.09.2017 24 17.1N 127.1W 998 37 1200UTC 18.09.2017 36 18.2N 126.9W 993 51 0000UTC 19.09.2017 48 18.9N 127.0W 999 40 1200UTC 19.09.2017 60 18.9N 127.3W 1004 30 0000UTC 20.09.2017 72 18.8N 128.2W 1006 28 1200UTC 20.09.2017 84 18.3N 129.1W 1008 24 0000UTC 21.09.2017 96 17.9N 130.3W 1009 25 1200UTC 21.09.2017 108 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 12.8N 135.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 17.09.2017 12 12.8N 135.1W 1007 25 0000UTC 18.09.2017 24 13.3N 135.0W 1007 26 1200UTC 18.09.2017 36 13.9N 134.8W 1006 25 0000UTC 19.09.2017 48 13.9N 134.3W 1007 30 1200UTC 19.09.2017 60 13.6N 133.8W 1008 25 0000UTC 20.09.2017 72 13.2N 133.4W 1008 21 1200UTC 20.09.2017 84 12.5N 133.1W 1009 20 0000UTC 21.09.2017 96 11.9N 133.1W 1009 19 1200UTC 21.09.2017 108 11.7N 133.4W 1010 17 0000UTC 22.09.2017 120 12.1N 133.4W 1009 16 1200UTC 22.09.2017 132 12.5N 133.7W 1009 20 0000UTC 23.09.2017 144 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 9.8N 164.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.09.2017 48 9.8N 164.5W 1006 24 1200UTC 19.09.2017 60 10.4N 166.2W 1005 26 0000UTC 20.09.2017 72 11.9N 168.5W 1003 33 1200UTC 20.09.2017 84 13.3N 170.6W 1004 34 0000UTC 21.09.2017 96 14.5N 172.7W 1005 30 1200UTC 21.09.2017 108 15.3N 174.9W 1007 31 0000UTC 22.09.2017 120 15.9N 177.7W 1008 27 1200UTC 22.09.2017 132 15.6N 179.5E 1007 27 0000UTC 23.09.2017 144 15.3N 177.1E 1005 31 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 144 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+144 : 30.9N 32.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 23.09.2017 144 30.9N 32.1W 1016 21 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 170409