WTNT82 EGRR 171606 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 17.09.2017 HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 30.4N 71.7W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 17.09.2017 0 30.4N 71.7W 947 88 0000UTC 18.09.2017 12 31.7N 71.5W 943 81 1200UTC 18.09.2017 24 33.3N 71.5W 949 77 0000UTC 19.09.2017 36 34.8N 71.9W 943 78 1200UTC 19.09.2017 48 36.1N 72.2W 942 80 0000UTC 20.09.2017 60 37.8N 72.2W 948 70 1200UTC 20.09.2017 72 39.2N 71.7W 963 54 0000UTC 21.09.2017 84 40.0N 71.4W 972 50 1200UTC 21.09.2017 96 39.5N 71.2W 982 46 0000UTC 22.09.2017 108 38.9N 71.0W 990 41 1200UTC 22.09.2017 120 38.8N 71.2W 996 37 0000UTC 23.09.2017 132 38.9N 72.2W 1000 39 1200UTC 23.09.2017 144 39.4N 73.5W 1005 33 TROPICAL STORM LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 13.1N 36.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 17.09.2017 0 13.1N 36.1W 1008 32 0000UTC 18.09.2017 12 13.0N 37.5W 1008 26 1200UTC 18.09.2017 24 14.1N 39.1W 1010 27 0000UTC 19.09.2017 36 15.3N 40.5W 1011 26 1200UTC 19.09.2017 48 16.5N 41.4W 1010 30 0000UTC 20.09.2017 60 18.0N 42.2W 1011 29 1200UTC 20.09.2017 72 19.4N 43.1W 1010 35 0000UTC 21.09.2017 84 20.7N 44.3W 1010 36 1200UTC 21.09.2017 96 22.2N 45.5W 1010 31 0000UTC 22.09.2017 108 24.3N 46.4W 1011 30 1200UTC 22.09.2017 120 26.7N 48.0W 1007 32 0000UTC 23.09.2017 132 27.8N 49.0W 1006 36 1200UTC 23.09.2017 144 28.3N 49.5W 1004 43 TROPICAL STORM MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 13.5N 55.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 17.09.2017 0 13.5N 55.6W 992 63 0000UTC 18.09.2017 12 13.8N 57.8W 986 66 1200UTC 18.09.2017 24 14.3N 59.3W 983 57 0000UTC 19.09.2017 36 15.0N 60.3W 977 63 1200UTC 19.09.2017 48 15.9N 61.5W 974 65 0000UTC 20.09.2017 60 16.9N 62.6W 967 71 1200UTC 20.09.2017 72 17.8N 63.9W 960 71 0000UTC 21.09.2017 84 18.6N 65.0W 946 85 1200UTC 21.09.2017 96 18.9N 65.9W 943 87 0000UTC 22.09.2017 108 19.6N 66.6W 940 87 1200UTC 22.09.2017 120 20.5N 67.4W 944 81 0000UTC 23.09.2017 132 21.9N 68.2W 941 85 1200UTC 23.09.2017 144 23.5N 69.4W 932 90 TROPICAL STORM NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 20.5N 110.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 17.09.2017 0 20.5N 110.6W 998 35 0000UTC 18.09.2017 12 21.0N 111.5W 1000 30 1200UTC 18.09.2017 24 21.4N 112.8W 1001 34 0000UTC 19.09.2017 36 21.7N 113.7W 1003 30 1200UTC 19.09.2017 48 22.5N 113.9W 1007 24 0000UTC 20.09.2017 60 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM OTIS ANALYSED POSITION : 16.2N 127.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 17.09.2017 0 16.2N 127.5W 999 36 0000UTC 18.09.2017 12 17.2N 127.1W 996 43 1200UTC 18.09.2017 24 18.1N 126.8W 991 48 0000UTC 19.09.2017 36 18.4N 127.0W 997 44 1200UTC 19.09.2017 48 18.2N 127.5W 1003 32 0000UTC 20.09.2017 60 17.8N 128.5W 1005 30 1200UTC 20.09.2017 72 17.3N 129.4W 1007 25 0000UTC 21.09.2017 84 17.1N 130.5W 1007 27 1200UTC 21.09.2017 96 16.8N 132.0W 1009 25 0000UTC 22.09.2017 108 16.7N 133.2W 1009 23 1200UTC 22.09.2017 120 16.4N 134.3W 1009 21 0000UTC 23.09.2017 132 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 13.6N 135.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 18.09.2017 12 13.9N 135.2W 1008 22 1200UTC 18.09.2017 24 14.2N 135.0W 1008 23 0000UTC 19.09.2017 36 14.1N 134.8W 1008 27 1200UTC 19.09.2017 48 13.8N 134.8W 1009 22 0000UTC 20.09.2017 60 13.4N 134.8W 1009 21 1200UTC 20.09.2017 72 12.7N 134.9W 1009 20 0000UTC 21.09.2017 84 12.0N 135.0W 1009 19 1200UTC 21.09.2017 96 11.5N 135.3W 1009 18 0000UTC 22.09.2017 108 11.5N 135.8W 1009 18 1200UTC 22.09.2017 120 11.7N 135.8W 1009 21 0000UTC 23.09.2017 132 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 42 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 42 : 13.0N 140.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 19.09.2017 48 13.1N 140.8W 1008 21 0000UTC 20.09.2017 60 13.3N 141.3W 1008 23 1200UTC 20.09.2017 72 13.3N 142.0W 1009 23 0000UTC 21.09.2017 84 12.9N 142.9W 1009 23 1200UTC 21.09.2017 96 12.5N 143.7W 1009 21 0000UTC 22.09.2017 108 12.0N 144.6W 1009 24 1200UTC 22.09.2017 120 11.4N 145.5W 1008 23 0000UTC 23.09.2017 132 11.2N 146.6W 1007 20 1200UTC 23.09.2017 144 10.7N 146.7W 1007 22 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 10.5N 167.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 20.09.2017 60 11.1N 168.5W 1006 24 1200UTC 20.09.2017 72 12.5N 170.4W 1006 35 0000UTC 21.09.2017 84 13.5N 172.3W 1005 36 1200UTC 21.09.2017 96 13.9N 174.6W 1006 35 0000UTC 22.09.2017 108 14.3N 177.2W 1006 32 1200UTC 22.09.2017 120 14.4N 179.9E 1006 35 0000UTC 23.09.2017 132 14.3N 177.3E 1005 37 1200UTC 23.09.2017 144 14.4N 175.0E 1005 35 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 126 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+126 : 13.7N 92.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 23.09.2017 132 13.6N 91.9W 1000 36 1200UTC 23.09.2017 144 13.5N 90.7W 995 47 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 171606