WTNT82 EGRR 181607 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 18.09.2017 HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 33.6N 71.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 18.09.2017 0 33.6N 71.1W 974 57 0000UTC 19.09.2017 12 35.0N 71.7W 967 59 1200UTC 19.09.2017 24 36.1N 71.7W 968 57 0000UTC 20.09.2017 36 37.7N 70.8W 966 63 1200UTC 20.09.2017 48 39.3N 69.6W 968 51 0000UTC 21.09.2017 60 40.2N 68.4W 976 46 1200UTC 21.09.2017 72 40.0N 67.5W 984 43 0000UTC 22.09.2017 84 39.7N 67.1W 989 39 1200UTC 22.09.2017 96 39.7N 67.1W 990 40 0000UTC 23.09.2017 108 39.0N 67.1W 990 40 1200UTC 23.09.2017 120 38.2N 67.5W 992 35 0000UTC 24.09.2017 132 37.5N 68.2W 993 40 1200UTC 24.09.2017 144 37.2N 70.3W 994 43 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 14.4N 40.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 18.09.2017 0 14.4N 40.1W 1008 29 0000UTC 19.09.2017 12 15.2N 41.7W 1008 31 1200UTC 19.09.2017 24 16.7N 42.4W 1007 35 0000UTC 20.09.2017 36 18.4N 42.9W 1007 37 1200UTC 20.09.2017 48 19.8N 43.6W 1007 39 0000UTC 21.09.2017 60 21.7N 44.8W 1007 35 1200UTC 21.09.2017 72 24.7N 46.1W 1004 43 0000UTC 22.09.2017 84 27.2N 48.8W 992 49 1200UTC 22.09.2017 96 27.9N 50.4W 991 55 0000UTC 23.09.2017 108 29.4N 50.6W 986 59 1200UTC 23.09.2017 120 31.1N 50.4W 979 60 0000UTC 24.09.2017 132 32.7N 48.7W 971 64 1200UTC 24.09.2017 144 34.1N 45.5W 960 72 HURRICANE MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 14.5N 59.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 18.09.2017 0 14.5N 59.8W 988 58 0000UTC 19.09.2017 12 15.0N 61.2W 983 63 1200UTC 19.09.2017 24 15.9N 62.5W 978 62 0000UTC 20.09.2017 36 16.9N 63.8W 972 66 1200UTC 20.09.2017 48 18.0N 65.4W 965 70 0000UTC 21.09.2017 60 19.0N 66.8W 961 75 1200UTC 21.09.2017 72 19.8N 68.5W 957 76 0000UTC 22.09.2017 84 20.6N 70.0W 952 87 1200UTC 22.09.2017 96 21.8N 70.7W 947 83 0000UTC 23.09.2017 108 23.4N 71.3W 943 81 1200UTC 23.09.2017 120 25.0N 71.9W 940 78 0000UTC 24.09.2017 132 26.7N 71.6W 932 83 1200UTC 24.09.2017 144 28.5N 71.0W 934 81 TROPICAL STORM NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.3N 112.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 18.09.2017 0 21.3N 112.3W 998 38 0000UTC 19.09.2017 12 21.7N 113.4W 999 37 1200UTC 19.09.2017 24 22.2N 114.4W 1003 32 0000UTC 20.09.2017 36 23.0N 115.1W 1005 22 1200UTC 20.09.2017 48 23.6N 115.3W 1009 20 0000UTC 21.09.2017 60 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM OTIS ANALYSED POSITION : 19.0N 127.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 18.09.2017 0 19.0N 127.5W 990 47 0000UTC 19.09.2017 12 19.5N 127.8W 996 45 1200UTC 19.09.2017 24 19.3N 128.3W 1004 32 0000UTC 20.09.2017 36 18.6N 129.0W 1006 28 1200UTC 20.09.2017 48 17.7N 129.8W 1008 23 0000UTC 21.09.2017 60 16.9N 130.8W 1008 25 1200UTC 21.09.2017 72 16.4N 132.2W 1009 22 0000UTC 22.09.2017 84 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 24 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 24 : 9.7N 166.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 19.09.2017 24 9.7N 166.5W 1007 22 0000UTC 20.09.2017 36 10.7N 168.0W 1005 25 1200UTC 20.09.2017 48 12.0N 170.2W 1006 30 0000UTC 21.09.2017 60 13.3N 172.2W 1007 30 1200UTC 21.09.2017 72 14.2N 174.7W 1008 31 0000UTC 22.09.2017 84 14.7N 177.6W 1009 28 1200UTC 22.09.2017 96 14.4N 179.3E 1009 29 0000UTC 23.09.2017 108 14.0N 176.8E 1008 26 1200UTC 23.09.2017 120 13.8N 174.2E 1008 26 0000UTC 24.09.2017 132 13.8N 171.6E 1008 25 1200UTC 24.09.2017 144 14.4N 168.4E 1008 25 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 13.2N 159.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 21.09.2017 60 13.2N 159.4W 1008 26 1200UTC 21.09.2017 72 12.8N 160.1W 1009 22 0000UTC 22.09.2017 84 12.7N 160.7W 1008 23 1200UTC 22.09.2017 96 13.1N 161.9W 1008 23 0000UTC 23.09.2017 108 13.9N 163.0W 1008 22 1200UTC 23.09.2017 120 15.0N 164.3W 1009 22 0000UTC 24.09.2017 132 16.0N 165.7W 1009 22 1200UTC 24.09.2017 144 16.9N 166.9W 1010 21 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 12.3N 145.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 23.09.2017 108 11.9N 145.9W 1009 20 1200UTC 23.09.2017 120 11.5N 146.8W 1009 19 0000UTC 24.09.2017 132 10.7N 147.7W 1008 20 1200UTC 24.09.2017 144 10.1N 148.6W 1007 20 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 13.3N 92.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 23.09.2017 120 13.1N 92.8W 1001 37 0000UTC 24.09.2017 132 13.2N 91.7W 992 48 1200UTC 24.09.2017 144 14.0N 90.9W 999 39 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 132 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+132 : 18.6N 105.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 24.09.2017 132 18.6N 105.5W 1000 32 1200UTC 24.09.2017 144 19.5N 105.8W 998 37 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 181607