WTNT82 EGRR 190408 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 19.09.2017 HURRICANE JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 35.3N 71.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.09.2017 0 35.3N 71.5W 963 62 1200UTC 19.09.2017 12 36.1N 71.7W 963 59 0000UTC 20.09.2017 24 37.5N 71.2W 959 67 1200UTC 20.09.2017 36 38.8N 69.8W 961 58 0000UTC 21.09.2017 48 39.7N 68.5W 970 48 1200UTC 21.09.2017 60 39.9N 67.5W 980 45 0000UTC 22.09.2017 72 39.7N 67.7W 985 44 1200UTC 22.09.2017 84 39.4N 68.4W 989 40 0000UTC 23.09.2017 96 39.1N 68.6W 993 37 1200UTC 23.09.2017 108 38.6N 69.4W 997 36 0000UTC 24.09.2017 120 38.4N 70.6W 999 37 1200UTC 24.09.2017 132 38.3N 71.5W 1003 28 0000UTC 25.09.2017 144 39.1N 71.8W 1006 26 TROPICAL DEPRESSION LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 15.0N 42.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.09.2017 0 15.0N 42.4W 1008 30 1200UTC 19.09.2017 12 16.3N 43.4W 1008 34 0000UTC 20.09.2017 24 17.8N 43.9W 1009 37 1200UTC 20.09.2017 36 18.9N 44.5W 1009 32 0000UTC 21.09.2017 48 20.3N 45.5W 1010 28 1200UTC 21.09.2017 60 22.5N 46.6W 1010 26 0000UTC 22.09.2017 72 25.7N 46.9W 1011 30 1200UTC 22.09.2017 84 28.9N 48.8W 1007 34 0000UTC 23.09.2017 96 29.9N 50.1W 1003 32 1200UTC 23.09.2017 108 31.1N 49.8W 999 38 0000UTC 24.09.2017 120 32.3N 48.5W 994 42 1200UTC 24.09.2017 132 32.8N 46.2W 992 49 0000UTC 25.09.2017 144 33.2N 44.5W 992 49 HURRICANE MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 15.2N 61.1W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.09.2017 0 15.2N 61.1W 983 59 1200UTC 19.09.2017 12 16.1N 62.4W 981 62 0000UTC 20.09.2017 24 17.0N 63.9W 978 59 1200UTC 20.09.2017 36 18.0N 65.3W 974 65 0000UTC 21.09.2017 48 18.9N 66.6W 965 71 1200UTC 21.09.2017 60 19.7N 68.0W 961 71 0000UTC 22.09.2017 72 20.6N 69.2W 957 79 1200UTC 22.09.2017 84 21.6N 70.1W 954 79 0000UTC 23.09.2017 96 22.8N 70.5W 946 83 1200UTC 23.09.2017 108 24.4N 71.3W 946 78 0000UTC 24.09.2017 120 26.1N 71.6W 937 85 1200UTC 24.09.2017 132 28.1N 71.7W 935 81 0000UTC 25.09.2017 144 30.2N 71.5W 932 80 TROPICAL STORM NORMA ANALYSED POSITION : 21.9N 113.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP172017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.09.2017 0 21.9N 113.2W 1003 31 1200UTC 19.09.2017 12 22.3N 114.4W 1007 28 0000UTC 20.09.2017 24 22.6N 114.9W 1007 20 1200UTC 20.09.2017 36 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM OTIS ANALYSED POSITION : 19.2N 127.8W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 19.09.2017 0 19.2N 127.8W 1001 38 1200UTC 19.09.2017 12 19.1N 128.1W 1007 27 0000UTC 20.09.2017 24 18.5N 129.1W 1008 26 1200UTC 20.09.2017 36 17.5N 130.1W 1009 22 0000UTC 21.09.2017 48 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 6 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 6 : 13.4N 139.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 19.09.2017 12 13.6N 140.2W 1008 23 0000UTC 20.09.2017 24 13.6N 140.9W 1008 22 1200UTC 20.09.2017 36 13.8N 141.5W 1009 21 0000UTC 21.09.2017 48 13.4N 142.2W 1009 23 1200UTC 21.09.2017 60 13.5N 143.4W 1010 22 0000UTC 22.09.2017 72 13.3N 144.4W 1010 22 1200UTC 22.09.2017 84 12.7N 145.6W 1010 21 0000UTC 23.09.2017 96 12.5N 146.5W 1009 20 1200UTC 23.09.2017 108 12.1N 147.5W 1009 18 0000UTC 24.09.2017 120 11.5N 148.5W 1009 18 1200UTC 24.09.2017 132 11.0N 149.1W 1008 17 0000UTC 25.09.2017 144 10.6N 150.3W 1007 17 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 9.9N 166.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 19.09.2017 12 9.9N 166.4W 1007 21 0000UTC 20.09.2017 24 10.9N 168.0W 1006 24 1200UTC 20.09.2017 36 12.1N 169.7W 1007 28 0000UTC 21.09.2017 48 13.1N 172.0W 1007 30 1200UTC 21.09.2017 60 14.1N 174.5W 1007 35 0000UTC 22.09.2017 72 14.7N 177.4W 1008 35 1200UTC 22.09.2017 84 14.7N 179.8E 1009 33 0000UTC 23.09.2017 96 14.7N 177.1E 1009 30 1200UTC 23.09.2017 108 14.1N 174.4E 1009 24 0000UTC 24.09.2017 120 13.6N 172.0E 1009 26 1200UTC 24.09.2017 132 13.4N 169.4E 1009 25 0000UTC 25.09.2017 144 13.7N 166.7E 1008 27 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 30 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 12.7N 159.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 20.09.2017 36 13.2N 159.9W 1008 23 0000UTC 21.09.2017 48 13.6N 160.7W 1008 24 1200UTC 21.09.2017 60 13.5N 161.2W 1007 28 0000UTC 22.09.2017 72 13.0N 161.9W 1006 33 1200UTC 22.09.2017 84 12.9N 162.4W 1004 32 0000UTC 23.09.2017 96 13.3N 162.9W 1002 36 1200UTC 23.09.2017 108 14.2N 163.6W 1003 41 0000UTC 24.09.2017 120 15.0N 164.6W 1004 37 1200UTC 24.09.2017 132 15.7N 165.7W 1006 29 0000UTC 25.09.2017 144 16.0N 166.6W 1005 25 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 84 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 84 : 17.6N 104.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 22.09.2017 84 17.6N 104.5W 1004 26 0000UTC 23.09.2017 96 17.6N 104.6W 1001 31 1200UTC 23.09.2017 108 18.0N 105.0W 998 38 0000UTC 24.09.2017 120 18.8N 104.7W 996 42 1200UTC 24.09.2017 132 20.0N 105.2W 1002 26 0000UTC 25.09.2017 144 CEASED TRACKING THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 190408