WTNT82 EGRR 230408 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 23.09.2017 TROPICAL STORM JOSE ANALYSED POSITION : 39.7N 69.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL122017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 23.09.2017 0 39.7N 69.2W 998 32 1200UTC 23.09.2017 12 39.1N 69.6W 1004 27 0000UTC 24.09.2017 24 38.4N 68.7W 1008 24 1200UTC 24.09.2017 36 38.7N 68.0W 1011 24 0000UTC 25.09.2017 48 39.2N 68.4W 1014 18 1200UTC 25.09.2017 60 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 31.0N 49.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 23.09.2017 0 31.0N 49.4W 1016 16 1200UTC 23.09.2017 12 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 23.5N 71.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 23.09.2017 0 23.5N 71.9W 940 85 1200UTC 23.09.2017 12 25.0N 72.5W 934 81 0000UTC 24.09.2017 24 26.7N 72.9W 926 88 1200UTC 24.09.2017 36 28.6N 73.4W 921 86 0000UTC 25.09.2017 48 30.0N 73.8W 931 79 1200UTC 25.09.2017 60 31.1N 74.3W 936 86 0000UTC 26.09.2017 72 32.2N 74.8W 932 84 1200UTC 26.09.2017 84 33.7N 75.2W 941 76 0000UTC 27.09.2017 96 34.9N 75.5W 946 75 1200UTC 27.09.2017 108 35.8N 75.0W 955 66 0000UTC 28.09.2017 120 36.1N 73.1W 967 66 1200UTC 28.09.2017 132 36.7N 69.7W 980 57 0000UTC 29.09.2017 144 40.3N 63.3W 982 56 TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPED IN THE MODEL ANALYSIS AT POSITION : 18.3N 105.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 23.09.2017 0 18.3N 105.9W 1003 24 1200UTC 23.09.2017 12 18.6N 106.1W 1000 31 0000UTC 24.09.2017 24 19.2N 106.2W 997 38 1200UTC 24.09.2017 36 19.8N 106.8W 995 42 0000UTC 25.09.2017 48 20.4N 106.9W 996 39 1200UTC 25.09.2017 60 20.7N 106.8W 996 41 0000UTC 26.09.2017 72 21.0N 106.6W 997 34 1200UTC 26.09.2017 84 21.7N 106.0W 997 35 0000UTC 27.09.2017 96 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 32.3N 48.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 25.09.2017 48 32.3N 48.9W 1016 17 1200UTC 25.09.2017 60 31.9N 48.5W 1016 20 0000UTC 26.09.2017 72 30.9N 48.1W 1016 20 1200UTC 26.09.2017 84 30.1N 47.6W 1015 21 0000UTC 27.09.2017 96 29.7N 47.6W 1014 20 1200UTC 27.09.2017 108 30.0N 47.8W 1012 27 0000UTC 28.09.2017 120 30.9N 48.5W 1011 29 1200UTC 28.09.2017 132 32.2N 49.5W 1009 35 0000UTC 29.09.2017 144 34.2N 50.4W 1008 40 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 54 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 54 : 18.1N 17.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 25.09.2017 60 18.6N 18.1W 1010 25 0000UTC 26.09.2017 72 20.2N 19.3W 1011 27 1200UTC 26.09.2017 84 20.8N 20.6W 1011 28 0000UTC 27.09.2017 96 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 13.3N 122.5W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 27.09.2017 96 13.2N 121.7W 1005 24 1200UTC 27.09.2017 108 13.6N 120.4W 1005 24 0000UTC 28.09.2017 120 13.7N 118.8W 1004 26 1200UTC 28.09.2017 132 13.8N 116.8W 1005 26 0000UTC 29.09.2017 144 13.9N 115.3W 1005 25 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 9.2N 150.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 28.09.2017 120 9.2N 150.2W 1006 27 1200UTC 28.09.2017 132 9.5N 150.8W 1005 31 0000UTC 29.09.2017 144 10.5N 150.9W 1001 40 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 230408