WTNT82 EGRR 231608 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 23.09.2017 TROPICAL STORM LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 31.6N 49.6W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 23.09.2017 0 31.6N 49.6W 1015 21 0000UTC 24.09.2017 12 32.1N 50.2W 1015 21 1200UTC 24.09.2017 24 31.9N 50.4W 1014 23 0000UTC 25.09.2017 36 31.5N 50.4W 1013 26 1200UTC 25.09.2017 48 31.0N 50.6W 1013 26 0000UTC 26.09.2017 60 30.0N 51.1W 1014 25 1200UTC 26.09.2017 72 29.5N 52.7W 1013 28 0000UTC 27.09.2017 84 29.6N 54.7W 1009 32 1200UTC 27.09.2017 96 30.3N 56.9W 1005 39 0000UTC 28.09.2017 108 31.2N 58.4W 1002 50 1200UTC 28.09.2017 120 33.0N 58.9W 996 53 0000UTC 29.09.2017 132 36.3N 57.5W 995 56 1200UTC 29.09.2017 144 41.4N 53.1W 993 57 HURRICANE MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 25.1N 72.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 23.09.2017 0 25.1N 72.4W 941 80 0000UTC 24.09.2017 12 26.9N 72.6W 938 84 1200UTC 24.09.2017 24 28.6N 73.1W 931 86 0000UTC 25.09.2017 36 30.0N 73.5W 941 70 1200UTC 25.09.2017 48 30.9N 73.9W 944 82 0000UTC 26.09.2017 60 32.2N 74.0W 943 82 1200UTC 26.09.2017 72 33.6N 74.3W 944 79 0000UTC 27.09.2017 84 34.5N 74.3W 947 80 1200UTC 27.09.2017 96 35.3N 74.0W 944 76 0000UTC 28.09.2017 108 35.5N 73.1W 954 70 1200UTC 28.09.2017 120 35.5N 71.3W 961 72 0000UTC 29.09.2017 132 35.5N 67.9W 972 60 1200UTC 29.09.2017 144 37.2N 63.0W 980 56 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 19.8N 106.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 25.09.2017 36 19.8N 106.2W 1002 28 1200UTC 25.09.2017 48 21.1N 106.7W 1002 26 0000UTC 26.09.2017 60 22.1N 106.7W 1002 24 1200UTC 26.09.2017 72 23.0N 107.2W 1002 28 0000UTC 27.09.2017 84 23.6N 107.8W 1002 23 1200UTC 27.09.2017 96 24.2N 108.6W 1003 27 0000UTC 28.09.2017 108 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 13.5N 125.9W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 25.09.2017 48 13.5N 125.9W 1007 26 0000UTC 26.09.2017 60 13.8N 125.1W 1006 27 1200UTC 26.09.2017 72 13.5N 123.3W 1006 25 0000UTC 27.09.2017 84 13.2N 122.4W 1005 26 1200UTC 27.09.2017 96 13.2N 120.7W 1005 24 0000UTC 28.09.2017 108 13.1N 119.8W 1004 26 1200UTC 28.09.2017 120 13.3N 118.0W 1005 28 0000UTC 29.09.2017 132 13.9N 116.4W 1005 25 1200UTC 29.09.2017 144 13.7N 115.1W 1006 23 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.0N 137.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 27.09.2017 96 11.1N 136.4W 1006 25 0000UTC 28.09.2017 108 11.6N 135.2W 1005 27 1200UTC 28.09.2017 120 12.4N 133.6W 1005 26 0000UTC 29.09.2017 132 13.3N 132.4W 1004 26 1200UTC 29.09.2017 144 13.6N 131.5W 1006 27 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 102 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+102 : 9.8N 151.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 28.09.2017 108 9.5N 151.6W 1005 24 1200UTC 28.09.2017 120 9.3N 152.1W 1004 29 0000UTC 29.09.2017 132 10.2N 152.6W 1002 33 1200UTC 29.09.2017 144 12.0N 153.8W 1000 37 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 231608