WTNT82 EGRR 240407 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 24.09.2017 TROPICAL STORM 18E ANALYSED POSITION : 18.6N 105.2W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 24.09.2017 0 18.6N 105.2W 1003 25 1200UTC 24.09.2017 12 19.2N 105.5W 1001 34 0000UTC 25.09.2017 24 20.4N 106.1W 1003 30 1200UTC 25.09.2017 36 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 32.2N 50.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 24.09.2017 0 32.2N 50.3W 1013 25 1200UTC 24.09.2017 12 31.8N 50.5W 1011 34 0000UTC 25.09.2017 24 31.6N 50.1W 1009 30 1200UTC 25.09.2017 36 30.9N 49.8W 1009 31 0000UTC 26.09.2017 48 30.3N 49.8W 1007 37 1200UTC 26.09.2017 60 30.1N 51.3W 1003 46 0000UTC 27.09.2017 72 30.1N 53.5W 999 45 1200UTC 27.09.2017 84 30.2N 55.5W 998 46 0000UTC 28.09.2017 96 30.6N 56.7W 991 57 1200UTC 28.09.2017 108 31.9N 57.3W 990 59 0000UTC 29.09.2017 120 34.2N 56.5W 992 61 1200UTC 29.09.2017 132 37.5N 54.0W 993 58 0000UTC 30.09.2017 144 41.9N 48.7W 994 55 HURRICANE MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 26.7N 72.4W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 24.09.2017 0 26.7N 72.4W 945 81 1200UTC 24.09.2017 12 28.4N 72.9W 938 80 0000UTC 25.09.2017 24 29.8N 73.1W 938 80 1200UTC 25.09.2017 36 30.8N 73.4W 938 86 0000UTC 26.09.2017 48 31.9N 73.4W 933 83 1200UTC 26.09.2017 60 33.0N 73.6W 943 76 0000UTC 27.09.2017 72 34.0N 73.4W 949 74 1200UTC 27.09.2017 84 34.9N 73.4W 955 73 0000UTC 28.09.2017 96 35.3N 72.7W 955 72 1200UTC 28.09.2017 108 35.3N 71.3W 957 75 0000UTC 29.09.2017 120 35.2N 69.1W 961 68 1200UTC 29.09.2017 132 35.9N 65.8W 961 69 0000UTC 30.09.2017 144 38.6N 60.0W 967 65 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 36 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 36 : 13.9N 125.3W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 25.09.2017 36 13.9N 125.3W 1007 25 0000UTC 26.09.2017 48 13.7N 124.8W 1006 28 1200UTC 26.09.2017 60 13.7N 123.7W 1006 25 0000UTC 27.09.2017 72 12.9N 122.1W 1004 24 1200UTC 27.09.2017 84 12.6N 121.3W 1004 25 0000UTC 28.09.2017 96 12.7N 119.7W 1003 30 1200UTC 28.09.2017 108 13.9N 117.9W 1005 28 0000UTC 29.09.2017 120 14.2N 116.9W 1004 26 1200UTC 29.09.2017 132 14.1N 115.6W 1005 24 0000UTC 30.09.2017 144 13.3N 115.0W 1005 23 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 90 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 90 : 11.0N 133.4W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 28.09.2017 96 11.3N 132.7W 1005 26 1200UTC 28.09.2017 108 11.9N 131.0W 1005 31 0000UTC 29.09.2017 120 13.0N 129.7W 1004 28 1200UTC 29.09.2017 132 13.3N 128.8W 1005 25 0000UTC 30.09.2017 144 13.3N 128.3W 1005 29 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 9.1N 153.6W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 29.09.2017 120 8.9N 153.6W 1005 26 1200UTC 29.09.2017 132 9.9N 153.5W 1004 30 0000UTC 30.09.2017 144 11.4N 153.1W 1002 31 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 240407