WTNT82 EGRR 271610



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 27.09.2017



             HURRICANE LEE        ANALYSED POSITION : 30.5N  56.5W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 27.09.2017    0  30.5N  56.5W      958            83

    0000UTC 28.09.2017   12  31.4N  57.4W      958            81

    1200UTC 28.09.2017   24  32.9N  57.7W      957            82

    0000UTC 29.09.2017   36  35.3N  56.3W      966            79

    1200UTC 29.09.2017   48  38.5N  52.7W      977            71

    0000UTC 30.09.2017   60  41.9N  46.0W      987            64

    1200UTC 30.09.2017   72  45.5N  36.4W      995            55

    0000UTC 01.10.2017   84              CEASED TRACKING



        TROPICAL STORM MARIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 35.3N  72.7W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 27.09.2017    0  35.3N  72.7W      977            51

    0000UTC 28.09.2017   12  36.3N  72.4W      975            50

    1200UTC 28.09.2017   24  36.3N  70.7W      975            57

    0000UTC 29.09.2017   36  35.8N  67.8W      977            55

    1200UTC 29.09.2017   48  36.1N  64.2W      974            62

    0000UTC 30.09.2017   60  37.7N  59.3W      971            65

    1200UTC 30.09.2017   72  41.1N  52.5W      968            66

    0000UTC 01.10.2017   84  45.3N  42.9W      981            57

    1200UTC 01.10.2017   96  49.6N  29.8W      996            41

    0000UTC 02.10.2017  108  51.5N  15.0W     1002            29

    1200UTC 02.10.2017  120              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  30 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 30 : 10.3N 136.9W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 29.09.2017   36  10.6N 136.7W     1006            24

    1200UTC 29.09.2017   48  11.2N 136.1W     1007            22

    0000UTC 30.09.2017   60  11.2N 135.6W     1007            21

    1200UTC 30.09.2017   72  11.1N 135.2W     1008            24

    0000UTC 01.10.2017   84  10.7N 135.4W     1008            20

    1200UTC 01.10.2017   96  10.6N 135.7W     1008            21

    0000UTC 02.10.2017  108  11.0N 135.4W     1007            26

    1200UTC 02.10.2017  120  11.5N 134.7W     1007            28

    0000UTC 03.10.2017  132  12.2N 133.4W     1005            24

    1200UTC 03.10.2017  144  12.5N 131.7W     1004            32



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 12.2N 113.3W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 30.09.2017   60  12.2N 113.3W     1005            23

    1200UTC 30.09.2017   72  12.2N 112.5W     1005            27

    0000UTC 01.10.2017   84  12.9N 111.1W     1003            33

    1200UTC 01.10.2017   96  14.3N 109.2W     1003            37

    0000UTC 02.10.2017  108  14.7N 106.1W     1003            35

    1200UTC 02.10.2017  120              CEASED TRACKING





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 271610