WTNT82 EGRR 281612



  MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC



             GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 28.09.2017



             HURRICANE LEE        ANALYSED POSITION : 33.2N  57.2W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 28.09.2017    0  33.2N  57.2W      952            81

    0000UTC 29.09.2017   12  35.8N  55.5W      954            80

    1200UTC 29.09.2017   24  38.9N  51.5W      962            80

    0000UTC 30.09.2017   36  42.7N  45.0W      979            66

    1200UTC 30.09.2017   48  47.2N  34.2W      990            57

    0000UTC 01.10.2017   60              CEASED TRACKING



        TROPICAL STORM MARIA      ANALYSED POSITION : 36.4N  70.1W



     ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 28.09.2017    0  36.4N  70.1W      977            53

    0000UTC 29.09.2017   12  36.5N  66.8W      980            51

    1200UTC 29.09.2017   24  36.9N  62.1W      982            54

    0000UTC 30.09.2017   36  38.6N  55.8W      985            54

    1200UTC 30.09.2017   48  41.1N  48.3W      982            56

    0000UTC 01.10.2017   60  43.8N  40.8W      981            56

    1200UTC 01.10.2017   72  47.0N  31.4W      997            47

    0000UTC 02.10.2017   84  48.8N  19.4W     1010            34

    1200UTC 02.10.2017   96              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 11.4N 134.7W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 01.10.2017   60  11.4N 134.7W     1007            20

    1200UTC 01.10.2017   72  11.6N 134.9W     1007            24

    0000UTC 02.10.2017   84  12.1N 135.3W     1005            27

    1200UTC 02.10.2017   96  12.7N 135.2W     1003            34

    0000UTC 03.10.2017  108  13.6N 134.7W      999            40

    1200UTC 03.10.2017  120  14.3N 133.7W      996            49

    0000UTC 04.10.2017  132  14.7N 132.1W      998            46

    1200UTC 04.10.2017  144  14.7N 130.8W     1002            40



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER  60 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 13.1N 112.3W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 01.10.2017   60  13.1N 112.3W     1006            27

    1200UTC 01.10.2017   72  13.5N 110.9W     1006            32

    0000UTC 02.10.2017   84  13.7N 108.0W     1005            29

    1200UTC 02.10.2017   96              CEASED TRACKING



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 108 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+108 : 30.2N 159.4W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    0000UTC 03.10.2017  108  30.2N 159.4W     1008            35

    1200UTC 03.10.2017  120  27.7N 162.6W     1005            35

    0000UTC 04.10.2017  132  26.4N 163.4W     1004            30

    1200UTC 04.10.2017  144  26.5N 164.5W     1006            27



       NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 114 HOURS

              FORECAST POSITION AT T+114 : 12.2N 141.3W



                        LEAD                 CENTRAL     MAXIMUM WIND

      VERIFYING TIME    TIME   POSITION   PRESSURE (MB)  SPEED (KNOTS)

      --------------    ----   --------   -------------  -------------

    1200UTC 03.10.2017  120  12.8N 141.0W     1007            24

    0000UTC 04.10.2017  132  13.4N 141.1W     1006            23

    1200UTC 04.10.2017  144  13.8N 141.7W     1007            28





 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE

 RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS

 AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT.



 MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK



 TOO 281612