WTNT82 EGRR 291614 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 1200UTC 29.09.2017 HURRICANE LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 39.1N 51.3W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 29.09.2017 0 39.1N 51.3W 981 69 0000UTC 30.09.2017 12 43.1N 44.0W 983 67 1200UTC 30.09.2017 24 48.1N 32.3W 990 55 0000UTC 01.10.2017 36 CEASED TRACKING TROPICAL STORM MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 36.7N 61.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 29.09.2017 0 36.7N 61.9W 981 55 0000UTC 30.09.2017 12 38.2N 55.5W 977 61 1200UTC 30.09.2017 24 40.7N 48.9W 974 58 0000UTC 01.10.2017 36 43.0N 41.7W 982 55 1200UTC 01.10.2017 48 46.0N 33.7W 993 52 0000UTC 02.10.2017 60 48.5N 24.1W 1008 38 1200UTC 02.10.2017 72 49.4N 14.8W 1014 28 0000UTC 03.10.2017 84 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 48 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 48 : 11.9N 115.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 01.10.2017 48 11.9N 115.8W 1007 23 0000UTC 02.10.2017 60 12.8N 114.2W 1006 26 1200UTC 02.10.2017 72 13.0N 112.1W 1005 30 0000UTC 03.10.2017 84 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 60 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 60 : 37.3N 60.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 02.10.2017 60 37.3N 60.7W 1007 40 1200UTC 02.10.2017 72 37.3N 58.4W 1000 47 0000UTC 03.10.2017 84 37.7N 54.1W 1004 37 1200UTC 03.10.2017 96 36.9N 49.6W 1010 38 0000UTC 04.10.2017 108 35.1N 45.7W 1012 37 1200UTC 04.10.2017 120 33.1N 43.1W 1014 34 0000UTC 05.10.2017 132 31.2N 42.2W 1014 30 1200UTC 05.10.2017 144 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 10.9N 141.8W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 02.10.2017 72 10.9N 141.8W 1007 25 0000UTC 03.10.2017 84 11.7N 141.6W 1006 28 1200UTC 03.10.2017 96 12.7N 141.6W 1005 28 0000UTC 04.10.2017 108 13.0N 142.0W 1003 35 1200UTC 04.10.2017 120 13.0N 142.1W 1005 34 0000UTC 05.10.2017 132 12.7N 142.5W 1006 29 1200UTC 05.10.2017 144 12.1N 143.5W 1008 25 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 138 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+138 : 19.8N 108.2W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 05.10.2017 144 20.3N 109.4W 1003 28 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 291614