WTNT82 EGRR 250406 MET OFFICE TROPICAL CYCLONE GUIDANCE FOR NORTH-EAST PACIFIC AND ATLANTIC GLOBAL MODEL DATA TIME 0000UTC 25.09.2017 HURRICANE LEE ANALYSED POSITION : 31.1N 49.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL142017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 25.09.2017 0 31.1N 49.5W 1010 28 1200UTC 25.09.2017 12 30.8N 49.5W 1009 30 0000UTC 26.09.2017 24 30.7N 50.0W 1008 35 1200UTC 26.09.2017 36 30.9N 52.0W 1004 42 0000UTC 27.09.2017 48 31.3N 53.9W 1000 44 1200UTC 27.09.2017 60 31.9N 55.5W 997 46 0000UTC 28.09.2017 72 32.5N 56.5W 993 54 1200UTC 28.09.2017 84 33.9N 56.0W 987 59 0000UTC 29.09.2017 96 36.1N 54.1W 982 64 1200UTC 29.09.2017 108 38.7N 50.4W 982 65 0000UTC 30.09.2017 120 42.3N 44.6W 989 62 1200UTC 30.09.2017 132 46.2N 35.9W 998 55 0000UTC 01.10.2017 144 CEASED TRACKING HURRICANE MARIA ANALYSED POSITION : 29.7N 72.9W ATCF IDENTIFIER : AL152017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 25.09.2017 0 29.7N 72.9W 942 73 1200UTC 25.09.2017 12 30.8N 73.1W 949 78 0000UTC 26.09.2017 24 31.7N 73.2W 948 77 1200UTC 26.09.2017 36 33.0N 73.4W 947 78 0000UTC 27.09.2017 48 33.8N 73.1W 948 75 1200UTC 27.09.2017 60 34.4N 73.1W 953 74 0000UTC 28.09.2017 72 34.5N 72.9W 954 75 1200UTC 28.09.2017 84 34.2N 72.2W 956 76 0000UTC 29.09.2017 96 33.9N 70.6W 956 71 1200UTC 29.09.2017 108 34.8N 67.5W 958 72 0000UTC 30.09.2017 120 38.6N 61.1W 959 73 1200UTC 30.09.2017 132 46.1N 52.1W 954 68 0000UTC 01.10.2017 144 53.8N 43.3W 954 59 TROPICAL STORM PILAR ANALYSED POSITION : 22.5N 106.5W ATCF IDENTIFIER : EP182017 LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 25.09.2017 0 22.5N 106.5W 1003 27 1200UTC 25.09.2017 12 CEASED TRACKING NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 12 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 12 : 13.0N 126.1W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 1200UTC 25.09.2017 12 13.0N 126.1W 1006 27 0000UTC 26.09.2017 24 13.5N 124.7W 1005 29 1200UTC 26.09.2017 36 12.9N 123.3W 1005 25 0000UTC 27.09.2017 48 12.6N 122.3W 1004 24 1200UTC 27.09.2017 60 12.1N 120.9W 1004 27 0000UTC 28.09.2017 72 12.2N 119.6W 1003 32 1200UTC 28.09.2017 84 13.0N 118.1W 1003 33 0000UTC 29.09.2017 96 13.6N 117.1W 1002 39 1200UTC 29.09.2017 108 13.8N 116.2W 1003 34 0000UTC 30.09.2017 120 13.5N 115.2W 1003 28 1200UTC 30.09.2017 132 13.3N 114.6W 1002 29 0000UTC 01.10.2017 144 13.6N 113.4W 1002 37 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 10.9N 134.0W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 28.09.2017 72 10.9N 134.0W 1006 25 1200UTC 28.09.2017 84 11.7N 132.7W 1005 25 0000UTC 29.09.2017 96 12.4N 131.4W 1005 24 1200UTC 29.09.2017 108 12.8N 130.5W 1006 24 0000UTC 30.09.2017 120 12.8N 129.8W 1006 26 1200UTC 30.09.2017 132 12.0N 129.7W 1006 27 0000UTC 01.10.2017 144 11.4N 129.4W 1004 27 NEW TROPICAL CYCLONE FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 120 HOURS FORECAST POSITION AT T+120 : 9.9N 156.7W LEAD CENTRAL MAXIMUM WIND VERIFYING TIME TIME POSITION PRESSURE (MB) SPEED (KNOTS) -------------- ---- -------- ------------- ------------- 0000UTC 30.09.2017 120 9.9N 156.7W 1006 24 1200UTC 30.09.2017 132 11.4N 155.2W 1007 26 0000UTC 01.10.2017 144 13.3N 155.3W 1004 31 THIS INFORMATION IS PROVIDED AS GUIDANCE FOR TROPICAL CYCLONE RSMCS. IT REQUIRES INTERPRETATION BY TROPICAL CYCLONE SPECIALISTS AND SHOULD NOT BE CONSIDERED AS A FINAL PRODUCT. MET OFFICE, EXETER, UK TOO 250406