000
WTPA21 PHFO 080830
TCMCP1

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP042015
0900 UTC WED JUL 08 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.2W AT 08/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT  15 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 141.2W AT 08/0900Z
AT 08/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 140.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 18.1N 142.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 19.3N 145.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/1800Z 20.3N 147.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.6N 149.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  10SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.3N 153.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 12/0600Z 25.1N 158.0W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/0600Z 27.1N 163.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 141.2W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/1500Z
 
$$

FORECASTER BIRCHARD