000
WTPA21 PHFO 092039
TCMCP1

TROPICAL STORM ELA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP042015
2100 UTC THU JUL 09 2015
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
INTERESTS IN THE HAWAIIAN ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
THIS SYSTEM OVER THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 146.6W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  60SE  30SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 146.6W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 146.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 21.5N 147.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 22.5N 149.7W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 23.2N 151.7W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 23.5N 153.8W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 23.5N 158.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 146.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BURKE