WTIO51 PGTW 110900 WARNING ATCG MIL 03A NIO 151011071254 2015101106 03A THREE 007 01 295 02 SATL 060 T000 159N 0694E 025 T012 163N 0690E 025 T024 167N 0682E 025 AMP 000HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 012HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 024HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 007 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE) WARNING NR 007 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 110600Z --- NEAR 15.9N 69.4E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 02 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER REPEAT POSIT: 15.9N 69.4E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 111800Z --- 16.3N 69.0E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 300 DEG/ 04 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 120600Z --- 16.7N 68.2E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 035 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER --- REMARKS: 110900Z POSITION NEAR 16.0N 69.3E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 03A (THREE), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 551 NM SOUTH- SOUTHEAST OF KARACHI, PAKISTAN, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 02 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. ANIMATED MULTISPECTRAL SATELLITE IMAGERY (MSI) DEPICTS ISOLATED FLARING DEEP CONVECTION OVER A PARTIALLY EXPOSED LOW LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER. A 110529Z ASCAT PASS REVEALS ONLY 15-20 KNOT WINDS SURROUNDING THE LLCC. THE INTIAL POSITION IS BASED ON THE MSI AND SUPPORTED BY THE ASCAT. INTIAL INTENSITY OF 25 KNOTS IS BASED ON THE PGTW DVORAK ESTIMATE AND ASCAT, AND IS BELOW THE JTWC WARNING CRITERIA FOR THIS BASIN. TC 03C HAS STRUGGLED IN THE PRESENCE OF LOW MID- TO UPPER LEVEL MOISTURE AS WELL POOR OUTFLOW. THE HWRF AND GFS MODEL SOLUTIONS INDICATE THESE ENVIRONMENTAL CONDITIONS ARE NOT EXPECTED TO IMPROVE. AS A RESULT, THIS IS THE FINAL WARNING ON THIS SYSTEM BY THE JOINT TYPHOON WRNCEN PEARL HARBOR HI. THE SYSTEM WILL BE CLOSELY MONITORED FOR SIGNS OF REGENERATION. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 110600Z IS 10 FEET. // 0315100700 125N 718E 20 0315100706 125N 717E 20 0315100712 125N 717E 25 0315100718 126N 716E 30 0315100800 127N 715E 30 0315100806 129N 713E 30 0315100812 131N 712E 30 0315100818 134N 709E 30 0315100900 137N 707E 30 0315100906 140N 705E 30 0315100912 144N 703E 30 0315100918 148N 699E 35 0315101000 149N 696E 35 0315101006 151N 694E 30 0315101012 153N 694E 30 0315101018 155N 696E 30 0315101100 158N 696E 25 0315101106 159N 694E 25 NNNN