WTIO51 PGTW 311500 WARNING ATCG MIL 04A NIO 151031121841 2015103112 04A CHAPALA 012 01 270 08 SATL 010 T000 138N 0579E 115 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 115 NE QD 105 SE QD 105 SW QD 120 NW QD T012 138N 0564E 110 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 110 NW QD T024 139N 0548E 100 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 110 NW QD T036 140N 0529E 090 R064 030 NE QD 025 SE QD 025 SW QD 030 NW QD R050 055 NE QD 045 SE QD 045 SW QD 055 NW QD R034 110 NE QD 095 SE QD 095 SW QD 110 NW QD T048 144N 0509E 075 R050 050 NE QD 040 SE QD 040 SW QD 050 NW QD R034 100 NE QD 085 SE QD 085 SW QD 100 NW QD T072 161N 0481E 030 AMP 048HR DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER 072HR DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (CHAPALA) WARNING NR 012 1. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (CHAPALA) WARNING NR 012 01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN NORTHIO MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY --- WARNING POSITION: 311200Z --- NEAR 13.8N 57.9E MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 270 DEGREES AT 08 KTS POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 010 NM POSITION BASED ON EYE FIXED BY SATELLITE PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION: MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 115 KT, GUSTS 140 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 115 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 105 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 120 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT REPEAT POSIT: 13.8N 57.9E --- FORECASTS: 12 HRS, VALID AT: 010000Z --- 13.8N 56.4E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 110 KT, GUSTS 135 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 24 HRS, VALID AT: 011200Z --- 13.9N 54.8E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 100 KT, GUSTS 125 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 275 DEG/ 09 KTS --- 36 HRS, VALID AT: 020000Z --- 14.0N 52.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 090 KT, GUSTS 110 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY RADIUS OF 064 KT WINDS - 030 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 025 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 030 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 055 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 045 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 055 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 110 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 095 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 110 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 280 DEG/ 10 KTS --- EXTENDED OUTLOOK: 48 HRS, VALID AT: 021200Z --- 14.4N 50.9E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 075 KT, GUSTS 090 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATING AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER WATER RADIUS OF 050 KT WINDS - 050 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 040 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 050 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT RADIUS OF 034 KT WINDS - 100 NM NORTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHEAST QUADRANT 085 NM SOUTHWEST QUADRANT 100 NM NORTHWEST QUADRANT VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 305 DEG/ 08 KTS --- 72 HRS, VALID AT: 031200Z --- 16.1N 48.1E MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT WIND RADII VALID OVER OPEN WATER ONLY DISSIPATED AS A SIGNIFICANT TROPICAL CYCLONE OVER LAND --- REMARKS: 311500Z POSITION NEAR 13.8N 57.5E. TROPICAL CYCLONE 04A (CHAPALA), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY 209 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF SOCOTRA ISLAND, YEMEN, HAS TRACKED WESTWARD AT 08 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIFICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 311200Z IS 30 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT 312100Z, 010300Z, 010900Z AND 011500Z.// 0415102500 57N 648E 15 0415102506 60N 646E 20 0415102512 65N 649E 20 0415102518 67N 652E 20 0415102600 69N 657E 20 0415102606 71N 661E 25 0415102612 79N 663E 25 0415102618 88N 662E 25 0415102700 96N 660E 25 0415102706 102N 657E 25 0415102712 105N 654E 25 0415102718 109N 651E 25 0415102800 115N 648E 30 0415102806 122N 649E 35 0415102812 128N 650E 40 0415102815 130N 648E 40 0415102818 131N 646E 45 0415102821 132N 644E 45 0415102900 135N 642E 50 0415102906 138N 638E 55 0415102906 138N 638E 55 0415102912 142N 631E 65 0415102912 142N 631E 65 0415102918 143N 623E 75 0415102918 143N 623E 75 0415102918 143N 623E 75 0415103000 142N 618E 100 0415103000 142N 618E 100 0415103000 142N 618E 100 0415103006 141N 611E 135 0415103006 141N 611E 135 0415103006 141N 611E 135 0415103012 140N 606E 130 0415103012 140N 606E 130 0415103012 140N 606E 130 0415103018 139N 602E 125 0415103018 139N 602E 125 0415103018 139N 602E 125 0415103100 139N 596E 120 0415103100 139N 596E 120 0415103100 139N 596E 120 0415103106 138N 587E 115 0415103106 138N 587E 115 0415103106 138N 587E 115 0415103112 138N 579E 115 0415103112 138N 579E 115 0415103112 138N 579E 115 NNNN